An RBC model with Epstein-Zin (non-expected-utility) recursive preferences: lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2018)

Aleksandar Vasilev
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

We introduce Epstein-Zin (1989, 1991) preferences into a real-business-cycle (RBC) model with government. We calibrate the model economy to Bulgarian data for the period after the currency board regime (1999-2018). We evaluate the quantitative importance of the presence of ”early resolution of uncertainty” motive for the propagation of cyclical fluctuations in Bulgaria. Allowing for Epstein-Zin preferences improves the model performance against data, and in addition this extended setup dominates the standard RBC model framework, e.g., Vasilev (2009).
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带有Epstein-Zin(非预期效用)递归偏好的RBC模型:保加利亚的经验(1999-2018)
我们将Epstein-Zin(1989,1991)的偏好引入到包含政府的真实商业周期(RBC)模型中。我们根据货币发行局制度后(1999-2018)的保加利亚数据校准了模型经济。我们评估了"不确定性的早期解决"动机对保加利亚周期性波动传播的数量重要性。允许Epstein-Zin偏好提高了模型对数据的性能,此外,这种扩展设置主导了标准RBC模型框架,例如Vasilev(2009)。
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