New Estimates of the Equity Risk Premium and Why Business Economists Need Them

Douglas J. Lamdin
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

The equity risk premium (ERP) is used to estimate a firm's cost of equity and overall cost of capital. It therefore is relevant to, for example, capital budgeting analyses and calculation of economic value added. Unfortunately, current estimates of the ERP range widely. Some claim it has fallen to as low as around 2%, while others place it at 3 to 4 times this amount. Using a model that extracts the required return on equity from a valuation model based on dividends and repurchases of shares the ERP is estimated. This approach leads to estimates of the ERP of 3% to 6%.
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股票风险溢价的新估计以及为什么商业经济学家需要它们
股权风险溢价(ERP)是用来估计企业的股权成本和总资本成本。因此,它与资本预算分析和经济增加值计算等有关。不幸的是,目前对ERP的估计范围很广。一些人声称它已经下降到2%左右,而另一些人则认为它是这个数字的3到4倍。使用从基于股息和股票回购的估值模型中提取所需股本回报率的模型来估计ERP。这种方法导致ERP的估计为3%到6%。
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