A Consumption Habits Clustering Modeling of Distribution Terminal Loads Based on Multi-Source Data Fusion

Shang Erzhen, Pan Tingyi, Wang Jiafeng, Xie Bo, Guan Jinglin, Huan He, Zhao Shuang
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Abstract

Aiming at the problems that are difficult to analyze due to the diverse load characteristics of distribution network users, considering the behavior characteristics of distribution terminal users, define user power consumption characteristics indicators, and study and establish a new distribution terminal load power consumption habit index system. Aiming at the problem that due to the diverse composition of end users and the randomness of user behavior, which reduces the accuracy of the analysis model of electricity consumption habits, considering the influencing factors such as user electricity consumption behavior, holidays and emergencies, a clustering algorithm based on data mining theory is used to The power distribution terminal user data is preprocessed to eliminate data noise interference, extract the feature quantities of the influencing factors of user behavior, and improve the accuracy of the analysis model. Finally, a portrait of the electricity consumption behavior of power distribution terminal users is formed, and according to the analysis results, it has a certain load forecasting ability for users.
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基于多源数据融合的配电终端负荷消费习惯聚类建模
针对配电网用户负荷特征多样化而难以分析的问题,考虑配电网终端用户的行为特征,定义用户用电特征指标,研究建立新的配电网终端负荷用电习惯指标体系。针对终端用户组成多样、用户行为随机性降低用电习惯分析模型准确性的问题,考虑用户用电行为、节假日、突发事件等影响因素,采用基于数据挖掘理论的聚类算法,对配电终端用户数据进行预处理,消除数据噪声干扰;提取用户行为影响因素的特征量,提高分析模型的准确性。最后,形成配电终端用户用电行为的画像,并根据分析结果,对用户具有一定的负荷预测能力。
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