Power System Design for Resilience and Flexibility Against Extreme Weather Events

Islam F. Abdin, Yiping Fang, E. Zio
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Recent challenges from severe weather events call for an adaptation in power systems planning methods, to ensure the sustainability of the resulting plans and the resilience of the power system against natural threats. Whereas studies have shown the importance of considering operational flexibility as an integral part of the design of power systems with a high share of renewable energy sources, very few works have incorporated the resilience against severe weather threats directly into the system design phase. We propose a comprehensive flexibility and resilience modeling and optimization framework for power systems planning considering extreme weather scenarios. A set of piece-wise linear models are developed to calculate the impact of extreme heat waves and drought events on the performance of the power generation units and on the system load. We propose a method to integrate the extreme climate impact within the power system planning model and investigate the results obtained compared to conventional planning methods under real future climate projections.
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针对极端天气事件的弹性和灵活性的电力系统设计
最近来自恶劣天气事件的挑战要求电力系统规划方法的适应,以确保所产生的计划的可持续性和电力系统抵御自然威胁的弹性。尽管研究表明,将运行灵活性作为可再生能源比例高的电力系统设计的一个组成部分的重要性,但很少有工作将应对恶劣天气威胁的弹性直接纳入系统设计阶段。我们提出了考虑极端天气情景的电力系统规划的综合灵活性和弹性建模和优化框架。建立了一套分段线性模型来计算极端热浪和干旱事件对发电机组性能和系统负荷的影响。我们提出了一种将极端气候影响纳入电力系统规划模型的方法,并在真实的未来气候预测下与传统规划方法进行了比较。
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