Effects of Suppression Policy in a Market for Heroin: A Natural Quasi-Experiment

Norman Braun, R. Berger
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Abstract

This paper focuses on the observable market effects of a more severe suppression of hard drug supply by the police. After surveying 624 regular heroin users in the Swiss cities of Bern and Zurich in a standardized way, the suppression policy had been intensified in Bern. To study the consequences of the policy change, the survey was repeated in both cities which resulted in another 419 standardized interviews. The results of this natural quasi experiment suggest that a more repressive practice of law enforcement agencies does not necessarily have the intended effects for central variables (e.g., price and quality of drugs, number of drug dealers) at the retail level of the illicit market.
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抑制政策对海洛因市场的影响:一个自然的准实验
本文的重点是观察到的市场效应,更严厉的打击毒品供应的警察。在以标准化的方式调查了瑞士伯尔尼和苏黎世的624名经常吸食海洛因的人之后,伯尔尼加强了压制政策。为了研究政策变化的后果,该调查在两个城市重复进行,结果又进行了419次标准化访谈。这一自然的准实验的结果表明,执法机构更严厉的做法不一定会对非法市场零售一级的中心变量(例如,毒品的价格和质量、毒贩的数量)产生预期的影响。
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