A Worldview Evolution in West European Politics

Erik R. Tillman
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Abstract

This chapter develops the worldview evolution argument that is tested in this book. West European societies have experienced major economic and socio-cultural changes in the past several decades, with the rise of the post-industrial economy, deepening and widening of European integration, and growing multiculturalism and values liberalism. As a result, older political divisions centred on class and religion have given way to new conflicts over national community and identity. Authoritarianism is the key to understanding this evolution of voting behaviour. The changes of the past several decades have generated perceptions of threat to social cohesion among high authoritarians, who have responded by moving towards populist radical right (PRR) parties that promise to fight those threats. Low authoritarians welcome these changes because they perceive them as enhancing individual autonomy and diversity, so they move towards parties that support them. The result is an emerging political conflict organized around rival worldviews: high authoritarians support parties committed to preserving social cohesion and national community, while low authoritarians support parties committed to enhancing individual autonomy and diversity. Because established parties had organized around earlier class and religious divisions, they struggle to maintain voter support in this new era as newer left-liberal and radical right parties gain at their expense. The chapter concludes by describing hypotheses about the evolving relationship between authoritarianism and public support for the EU and voting behaviour, respectively.
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西欧政治中的世界观演变
这一章发展了本书所检验的世界观进化论论点。在过去的几十年里,随着后工业经济的兴起,欧洲一体化的深化和扩大,以及多元文化主义和价值自由主义的增长,西欧社会经历了重大的经济和社会文化变革。其结果是,以阶级和宗教为中心的旧的政治分歧已经让位于围绕民族共同体和身份的新冲突。威权主义是理解投票行为演变的关键。过去几十年的变化已经在高级威权主义者中产生了对社会凝聚力威胁的看法,他们的回应是转向承诺打击这些威胁的民粹主义激进右翼(PRR)政党。低威权主义者欢迎这些变化,因为他们认为这些变化增强了个人的自主性和多样性,因此他们倾向于支持他们的政党。其结果是围绕对立的世界观组织起来的新出现的政治冲突:高威权主义者支持致力于维护社会凝聚力和民族共同体的政党,而低威权主义者支持致力于加强个人自主性和多样性的政党。由于老牌政党是围绕着早期的阶级和宗教分歧组织起来的,在这个新时代,它们很难保持选民的支持,因为新兴的左翼自由主义和激进右翼政党以牺牲它们的利益为代价获得了支持。本章最后分别描述了威权主义与公众对欧盟的支持和投票行为之间不断演变的关系的假设。
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