The Impact of Land Property Right on China’s Rural-urban Migration

Yunshan Chen
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Abstract

China is undergoing a rural land system reform called Three Rights Division (TRD) which promotes the transformation of land management right and guarantees the security of land contract right. In this paper, we study the impacts of rural land system on migration under market (the ability to rent land) and government (land expropriation) mechanism. We employ the Probit model with robustness and endogenous checks to identify whether rent behavior and land insecurity have impacts on migration. Results show that the rent behavior has a positive impact on migration while land insecurity is negative, indicating that the reform of TRD promotes the probability to migrate both through market and government mechanism.
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土地产权对中国城乡人口流动的影响
中国正在进行一场名为“三权分置”的农村土地制度改革,促进了土地经营权的流转,保障了土地承包权的安全。本文研究了市场(土地租用能力)和政府(土地征收)机制下农村土地制度对人口迁移的影响。我们采用具有鲁棒性和内生检查的Probit模型来确定租金行为和土地不安全是否对移民产生影响。结果表明,租金行为对人口迁移具有正向影响,而土地不安全因素对人口迁移具有负向影响,表明TRD改革通过市场和政府机制促进了人口迁移的概率。
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