Dynamics of Transport Infrastructure, Exports and Economic Growth in the United States

Tingting Tong, T. Yu, R. Roberts
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引用次数: 20

Abstract

This paper focuses on the dynamic relationships among transport infrastructure, exports and economic growth in the United States using a multivariate time-series analysis. Results suggest that the formation of highways and streets affects economic growth indirectly through enhancing the capital stock of non-transport infrastructure and crowding in private capital. The reverse causality from economic output to highway and street infrastructure is observed. Aggregate capital stock of non-transport infrastructure, excluding national defense, has sustainable positive effects on economic output and exports over a number of years. Empirical evidence also shows that highway and street infrastructure and non-transport infrastructure Granger cause exports.
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美国交通基础设施、出口和经济增长的动态
本文采用多变量时间序列分析方法研究了美国交通基础设施、出口和经济增长之间的动态关系。研究结果表明,公路和街道的形成通过增加非交通基础设施的资本存量和吸引民间资本间接影响经济增长。观察到经济产出与公路和街道基础设施之间的反向因果关系。非运输基础设施(不包括国防)的总资本存量在若干年里对经济产出和出口具有持续的积极影响。实证还表明,公路道路基础设施和非交通基础设施对出口有格兰杰影响。
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