Traffic Spatial-Temporal Prediction Based on Neural Architecture Search

Dongran Zhang, Gang Luo, Jun Li
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Abstract

Traffic spatial-temporal prediction is essential for intelligent transportation systems. However, the current approach relies heavily on expert knowledge and time-consuming manual modeling. Neural architecture search can build models adaptively, but it is rarely used for traffic spatial-temporal prediction, nor is it designed specifically for traffic spatial-temporal feature. In response to the above problems, we propose neural architecture search spatial-temporal prediction (NASST), which is a method to automatically generate a traffic spatial-temporal prediction network by performing a differentiable neural network architecture search in an optimized search space. First, we adopt a differentiable neural architecture search method to continuously relax the discrete traffic spatial-temporal prediction model architecture search, and adopt a fusion strategy of comprehensive concatenate and addition (CA) to achieve efficient neural architecture search. Second, we optimize the search space and introduce a series of classic traffic spatial-temporal feature extraction modules, which are more in line with the architectural requirements of traffic spatial-temporal prediction network. Finally, our model is validated on two public traffic datasets and achieves the best predictions. Compared with traditional manual modeling methods, our method can realize the automatic search of high-precision predictive model architectures, which improves the modeling efficiency.
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基于神经结构搜索的交通时空预测
交通时空预测是智能交通系统的重要组成部分。然而,目前的方法严重依赖于专家知识和耗时的人工建模。神经结构搜索可以自适应地建立模型,但很少用于交通时空预测,也不是专门针对交通时空特征设计的。针对上述问题,本文提出了神经结构搜索时空预测(neural architecture search spatial-temporal prediction, NASST),即在优化后的搜索空间中进行可微神经网络结构搜索,自动生成交通时空预测网络的方法。首先,采用可微神经结构搜索方法,连续放宽离散交通时空预测模型结构搜索,并采用综合连接和相加(CA)融合策略,实现高效的神经结构搜索。其次,优化搜索空间,引入一系列经典的交通时空特征提取模块,使其更符合交通时空预测网络的架构要求;最后,我们的模型在两个公共交通数据集上进行了验证,并获得了最佳预测结果。与传统的人工建模方法相比,该方法可以实现高精度预测模型体系结构的自动搜索,提高了建模效率。
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