Critical Risk Factors of Joint Venture Projects in the Oil and Gas Industry between Malaysia and Thailand

Fatemah Baradari, Z. Nopiah, S. Ja'afar, Wan Siti Adibah Wan, Dahalan
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Abstract

Oil and Gas (O&G) industry is one of the riskiest, most dynamic and challenging industries and plays a vital role in every nation’s economy. Like any other major industry, O&G is exposed to a host of both predictable and unpredictable risks. Joint venture projects (JVP) are often regarded as risky businesses as there is a high failure rate among them because of the complexities involved. This paper aims to identify the critical risk factors (CRFs) of JVPs for O&G between Malaysia and Thailand. Via systematic literature review (SLR) the risk factors for O&G and JVPs around the globe are identified and a set of questions relating to them designed and used in a pilot study. A total of 15 respondents from different background experiences working in O&G JVPs were requested to answer the designed questionnaire during the pilot study. The data collected involves 170 respondents currently working or have worked in O&G JVPs. The relative importance index (RII) for each risk factor’s (RF) value was quantified and the RFs ranked based on the value. A RII value exceeding 60% is considered to have agreement and of importance to the respondents. The RII value can be used as an indicator to rank the RFs from the most to the least critical. The CRF categories determined in this study are environmental, cultural and social, and organisation. Under environmental, the main CRFs are losses due to fluctuations in exchange rates/interest rates. For cultural and social, the main CRFs are problems associated with cultural differences and cooperation. Organisational issues are related to organisational fit, incompetent project management team, difficulty in finding and keeping skilled workers, and low worker productivity.
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马来西亚和泰国油气行业合资项目的关键风险因素
石油和天然气(O&G)行业是风险最大、最具活力和挑战性的行业之一,在每个国家的经济中都扮演着至关重要的角色。与其他主要行业一样,油气行业也面临着许多可预测和不可预测的风险。由于合资项目的复杂性,其失败率很高,因此通常被认为是高风险的业务。本文旨在确定马来西亚和泰国之间油气jvp的关键风险因素(CRFs)。通过系统文献综述(SLR),确定了全球油气和jvp的风险因素,并设计了一系列与之相关的问题,并在试点研究中使用。在试点研究中,共有15名来自不同背景和经验的受访者在油气jvp工作,他们被要求回答设计的问卷。收集的数据涉及170名受访者,他们目前或曾经在油气合资企业工作。量化各危险因素(RF)值的相对重要性指数(RII),并根据该值对各危险因素进行排序。RII值超过60%被认为对受访者具有一致性和重要性。RII值可用作指标,对RFs进行从最重要到最不重要的排序。在本研究中确定的CRF类别包括环境、文化及社会,以及组织。在环境项下,主要的crf是由于汇率/利率波动造成的损失。对于文化和社会而言,主要的crf是与文化差异和合作有关的问题。组织问题与组织适合度、不称职的项目管理团队、难以找到和留住熟练工人以及工人生产率低有关。
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