Impact of Domestic and Transnational Terrorism on Capital Flight: Moderating role of Military Expenditure and Institutional Quality. Evidence from Asian & MENA Countries

Zaheer Abbas Et al.,
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Abstract

This research is fundamentally concerned with the issue of terrorism and its impact on capital flight from Asian countries and MENA countries. Terrorism remains an active research topic with respect to economic consequences; such that increase in terrorism causes political instability, which gives a poor economic outlook, hence investors tend to shift their money out of the victimized country. Furthermore, this study has explored the distinct impacts of domestic and transnational terrorism simultaneously for capital flight. Moreover, this study has discovered the role of military expenditure as a policy variable to combat terrorism. Besides this, the study also highlights the prominence of institutional quality because the effectiveness of government institutions plays a significant role to ameliorate the uncertainty arising due to terrorism and hence cause a reduction in capital flight. Panel data comprising of 9 Asian and 5 Mena countries from 2006 to have been used in this study. Generalized Method of Moment for empirical testing has been applied to address the issue of capital flight trap and endogeneity among variables. Findings reveal that both dimensions of terrorism have a significant impact on capital flight.
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国内和跨国恐怖主义对资本外逃的影响:军费和制度质量的调节作用。来自亚洲和中东和北非国家的证据
本研究从根本上关注恐怖主义问题及其对亚洲国家和中东和北非国家资本外逃的影响。就经济后果而言,恐怖主义仍然是一个活跃的研究课题;因此,恐怖主义的增加导致政治不稳定,从而导致经济前景不佳,因此投资者倾向于将资金从受害国家转移出去。此外,本研究还探讨了国内和跨国恐怖主义同时对资本外逃的不同影响。此外,本研究还发现了军费开支作为打击恐怖主义的政策变量的作用。除此之外,该研究还强调了制度质量的重要性,因为政府机构的有效性在改善恐怖主义带来的不确定性方面发挥着重要作用,从而导致资本外逃的减少。本研究使用了自2006年以来9个亚洲国家和5个中东和北非国家的面板数据。本文采用广义矩法进行实证检验,解决了资本外逃陷阱和变量间的内生性问题。研究结果表明,恐怖主义的两个维度对资本外逃都有显著影响。
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