Tourism and Economic Growth in Nepal

B. P. Gautam
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引用次数: 57

Abstract

Tourism has become an important economic activity in all the countries of the world. It creates various direct, indirect and induced effects in the economy. This paper attempts to confirm empirically about the positive impact of tourism in Nepal. It is based on Nepalese data of foreign exchange earnings from tourism and gross domestic product for the period between FY 1974/75 and 2009/10. Co-integration test has been done for ascertaining long run relationship and error correction method for short run dynamics. Granger Causality test has been applied to determine causal relationship between these variables. The evidence confirms the conventional wisdom that of tourism development, that tourism (represented by foreign exchange earnings) causes economic growth both in short and long run. The result also indicates bi-directional causality between these variables.
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尼泊尔的旅游业和经济增长
旅游业已成为世界各国一项重要的经济活动。它在经济中产生各种直接的、间接的和诱导的影响。本文试图对尼泊尔旅游业的积极影响进行实证验证。它基于尼泊尔1974/75财年至2009/10财年期间旅游业外汇收入和国内生产总值的数据。通过协整检验确定了长期动态关系,并对短期动态进行了误差修正。运用格兰杰因果检验来确定这些变量之间的因果关系。证据证实了旅游业发展的传统智慧,即旅游业(以外汇收入为代表)在短期和长期内都会导致经济增长。结果还表明了这些变量之间的双向因果关系。
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