The Extended Friday the 13th Effect in the London Stock Exchange

R. Stefanescu, Ramona Dumitriu
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

The extended Friday the 13th Effect is a calendar anomaly consisting in abnormal stock returns that occur in a time interval that starts some trading days before the supposed unlucky day of Friday the 13th and it ends some trading days after. This paper approaches the presence of such patterns in the evolution of the closed values of five indexes from the London Stock Exchange: FTSE 100, FTSE 250, FTSE 350, FTSE SmallCap and FTSE All-Share. This investigation is performed for two periods: the first from January 1998 to December 2006 and the second from January 2007 to July 2019. While the first one could be considered as relative quiet, the second one was more turbulent. In the case of first period the results revealed, for four indexes, that in the trading day that follows Friday the 13th the returns were significant higher than the average. Instead, in the case of second period, we found, for the same four indexes, that two trading days before the Friday the 13th the returns were significant lower than the average. We conclude that, like many other calendar anomalies, extended Friday the 13th Effect is not persistent in time.
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伦敦证券交易所的13号星期五效应延长
“延长的13号星期五效应”是一种日历上的异常现象,由一段时间间隔内的异常股票回报组成,这种时间间隔开始于所谓的不吉利的13号星期五之前的一些交易日,并在之后的一些交易日结束。本文探讨了伦敦证券交易所富时100指数、富时250指数、富时350指数、富时小盘股指数和富时全股指数收盘值演变过程中存在的这种模式。调查分两期进行:第一期为1998年1月至2006年12月,第二期为2007年1月至2019年7月。第一次可以被认为是相对平静的,而第二次则更加动荡。在第一个时期,结果显示,对于四个指数,在13号星期五之后的交易日,回报率显著高于平均水平。相反,在第二个周期的情况下,我们发现,对于同样的四个指数,在13号星期五之前的两个交易日,回报率显著低于平均水平。我们得出的结论是,像许多其他日历异常一样,延长的13号星期五效应在时间上并不持久。
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