Defining an ‘Epidemiological Risk Index’ to analyse COVID-19 mortality across European regions

IF 2.2 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Annals of Regional Science Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI:10.1007/s00168-023-01250-1
Josep-Maria Arauzo-Carod, José-Manuel Giménez-Gómez, Maria Llop
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Abstract

Abstract The spread and severity of COVID-19 within the European regions have been highly heterogeneous, with significant differences in both the number of infected persons and mortality across regions. This paper improves the weak ability of welfare variables, such as the HDI, to explain COVID-19 mortality. We propose a novel ‘Epidemiological Risk Index’, including environmental quality, global interaction, health system infrastructure, and population characteristics, which provides a better explanation of pandemic mortality in European regions. We deal with spatial interdependence in COVID-19 mortality by using spatial lagged covariates and Geographical Weighted Regressions. The findings in this study call attention to the influence of epidemiological factors in addition to purely development factors in explaining the severity of COVID-19.

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定义“流行病学风险指数”,以分析欧洲各地区的COVID-19死亡率
2019冠状病毒病在欧洲地区的传播和严重程度存在高度异质性,不同地区的感染人数和死亡率均存在显著差异。本文改善了福利变量(如HDI)解释COVID-19死亡率的弱能力。我们提出了一种新的“流行病学风险指数”,包括环境质量、全球相互作用、卫生系统基础设施和人口特征,它可以更好地解释欧洲地区的大流行死亡率。我们通过使用空间滞后协变量和地理加权回归来处理COVID-19死亡率的空间相互依赖性。本研究的发现呼吁在解释COVID-19的严重程度时,除了纯粹的发展因素外,还要注意流行病学因素的影响。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
11.80%
发文量
90
期刊介绍: The Annals of Regional Science presents high-quality research in the interdisciplinary field of regional and urban studies. The journal publishes papers which make a new or substantial contribution to the body of knowledge in which the spatial dimension plays a fundamental role, including regional economics, resource management, location theory, urban and regional planning, transportation and communication, population distribution and environmental quality. The Annals of Regional Science is the official journal of the Western Regional Science Association.
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