Annals of Regional Science最新文献

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What makes German manufacturing plants move locations? 是什么促使德国制造工厂搬迁?

IF 1.7 4区经济学 Q2 Social Sciences

Annals of Regional Science

Pub Date : 2024-01-01 Epub Date: 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-023-01238-x

Astrid Krenz

In this paper, the relocation decisions of manufacturing plants across the NUTS-3 regions of the German economy are investigated. A relocation decision concerns whether a plant (an incumbent) moves its location from one region to another over a given time period or whether it remains in the same region. This decision is distinct from a location decision (of a start-up). To analyze the relocations of plants, the rich information of the official German regional statistics as well as the official German firm statistics that are maintained by the German Federal Statistical Office and the Statistical Offices of the Federal States is exploited for the first time. Both pull and push factors that influence relocation decisions are investigated. The results reveal that, in particular, regional road infrastructure and accessibility of regions as well as the quality of the available labor force positively affect the decision to relocate a plant in the German economy. A reduction of 10% in travel time by road to reach the three nearest agglomeration centers leads to an increase in relocation probability of about 9.5% on average. Policy implications involve the need for improvement of accessibility and infrastructure as well as incentives to support human capital in order to attract businesses to move to a region.

本文研究了德国经济 NUTS-3 地区制造业工厂的搬迁决策。搬迁决策涉及工厂（现有工厂）是在一定时期内将其厂址从一个地区转移到另一个地区，还是留在同一地区。这种决策有别于（新创企业的）选址决策。为了分析工厂的搬迁，我们首次利用了德国联邦统计局和联邦各州统计局保存的德国地区官方统计数据和德国企业官方统计数据中的丰富信息。对影响迁移决策的拉动因素和推动因素进行了研究。研究结果表明，在德国经济中，地区道路基础设施、地区交通便利程度以及可用劳动力的质量对工厂搬迁决策具有积极影响。到达三个最近集聚中心的公路旅行时间每减少 10%，搬迁概率就会平均增加约 9.5%。对政策的影响包括需要改善交通便利性和基础设施，并采取激励措施支持人力资本，以吸引企业迁入一个地区。

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引用次数: 0

Defining an ‘Epidemiological Risk Index’ to analyse COVID-19 mortality across European regions 定义“流行病学风险指数”，以分析欧洲各地区的COVID-19死亡率

4区经济学 Q2 Social Sciences

Annals of Regional Science

Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-023-01250-1

Josep-Maria Arauzo-Carod, José-Manuel Giménez-Gómez, Maria Llop

Abstract The spread and severity of COVID-19 within the European regions have been highly heterogeneous, with significant differences in both the number of infected persons and mortality across regions. This paper improves the weak ability of welfare variables, such as the HDI, to explain COVID-19 mortality. We propose a novel ‘Epidemiological Risk Index’, including environmental quality, global interaction, health system infrastructure, and population characteristics, which provides a better explanation of pandemic mortality in European regions. We deal with spatial interdependence in COVID-19 mortality by using spatial lagged covariates and Geographical Weighted Regressions. The findings in this study call attention to the influence of epidemiological factors in addition to purely development factors in explaining the severity of COVID-19.

2019冠状病毒病在欧洲地区的传播和严重程度存在高度异质性，不同地区的感染人数和死亡率均存在显著差异。本文改善了福利变量(如HDI)解释COVID-19死亡率的弱能力。我们提出了一种新的“流行病学风险指数”，包括环境质量、全球相互作用、卫生系统基础设施和人口特征，它可以更好地解释欧洲地区的大流行死亡率。我们通过使用空间滞后协变量和地理加权回归来处理COVID-19死亡率的空间相互依赖性。本研究的发现呼吁在解释COVID-19的严重程度时，除了纯粹的发展因素外，还要注意流行病学因素的影响。

引用次数: 0

Estimation of impacts of volcanic ash fall from Mt. Fuji eruption on freight transport and effects of partial restoration of highways 富士山喷发火山灰对货物运输的影响及部分公路修复的影响评估

4区经济学 Q2 Social Sciences

Annals of Regional Science

Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-023-01251-0

Tomoki Ishikura, Shogo Iso

引用次数: 0

Regional decomposition in age-group unemployment dynamics in Germany 德国各年龄组失业动态的区域分解

4区经济学 Q2 Social Sciences

Annals of Regional Science

Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-023-01248-9

Carsten Ochsen

Abstract This article analyzes age-group-related differences in the risk of losing a job and the chance to find new employment using regional administrative data for Germany. I also consider flows between inactivity (out of the labor force) and unemployment to examine the relative contributions of labor market flows to different age-group unemployment dynamics. Inactivity and activity flows account for about 23% (and 83% for the youth) of unemployment dynamics, and contributions of separation (11%-50%) and job finding (5%-30%) vary with age-groups. Counties with a larger share of the labor force youth have high dynamics and very low unemployment rates. In contrast, regions with a smaller percentage of youth experience twice as large unemployment rates. Overall, the results provide strong evidence for decreasing regional labor market dynamics when the share of older workers increases.

摘要本文利用德国的区域行政数据分析了失业风险和新就业机会的年龄相关差异。我还考虑了不活动(脱离劳动力)和失业之间的流动，以检验劳动力市场流动对不同年龄组失业动态的相对贡献。不活动和活动流动约占失业动态的23%(年轻人占83%)，而分居(11%-50%)和找工作(5%-30%)的贡献因年龄组而异。年轻人占劳动力比例较大的县具有较高的活力和非常低的失业率。相比之下，青年比例较低的地区失业率是后者的两倍。总的来说，研究结果提供了强有力的证据，表明当老年工人的比例增加时，区域劳动力市场的动态会下降。

引用次数: 0

Carbon tax vs. emission trading in a monopolistically competitive market with heterogeneous firms 异质性企业垄断竞争市场中的碳税与排放交易

4区经济学 Q2 Social Sciences

Annals of Regional Science

Pub Date : 2023-10-30 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-023-01249-8

Kefu Lin, Rui Pan, Dao-Zhi Zeng

引用次数: 0

The impact of recreational marijuana dispensaries on crime: evidence from a lottery experiment 娱乐性大麻药房对犯罪的影响:来自彩票实验的证据

4区经济学 Q2 Social Sciences

Annals of Regional Science

Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-023-01246-x

Xiuming Dong, Justin Tyndall

引用次数: 0

Welcome to the Punch. Local exposure to refugees and hate events in Italy 欢迎来到潘趣酒吧。当地对意大利难民和仇恨事件的曝光

4区经济学 Q2 Social Sciences

Annals of Regional Science

Pub Date : 2023-09-27 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-023-01247-w

Daria Denti, Alessandra Faggian

Abstract Which are the effects of hosting refugees on hate events, the most extreme acts against minorities? While growing research considers the link between refugees and voting behaviors, little is known about the influence of refugee reception on radicalization of anti-immigrant attitudes. Exploiting a novel database on geotagged hate events in Italy and the geography of refugee hosting centers, this paper provides novel evidence on the effect of exposure to refugees on hate in Italian provinces. Using instrumental variable estimation, we show that provinces with bigger refugee hosting capacity experienced higher incidence of hate.

收容难民对仇恨事件(针对少数群体的最极端行为)的影响是什么?虽然越来越多的研究考虑了难民与投票行为之间的联系，但人们对难民接收对反移民态度激进化的影响知之甚少。利用意大利地理标记仇恨事件的新数据库和难民收容中心的地理位置，本文提供了意大利各省接触难民对仇恨的影响的新证据。通过工具变量估计，我们发现收容难民能力越大的省份仇恨发生率越高。

引用次数: 1

What factors contribute to uneven suburbanisation? Predicting the number of migrants from Warsaw to its suburbs with machine learning 哪些因素导致了不均衡的郊区化?用机器学习预测从华沙到郊区的移民数量

4区经济学 Q2 Social Sciences

Annals of Regional Science

Pub Date : 2023-09-25 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-023-01245-y

Honorata Bogusz, Szymon Winnicki, Piotr Wójcik

Abstract This article investigates the spatially uneven migration from Warsaw to its suburban municipalities. We report a novel approach to modelling suburbanisation: several linear and nonlinear predictive models are applied, and Explainable Artificial Intelligence methods are used to interpret the shape of relationships between the dependent variable and the most important regressors. The support vector regression algorithm is found to yield the most accurate predictions of the number of migrants to the suburbs of Warsaw. In addition, we find that migrants choose wealthier and more urbanised municipalities that offer better institutional amenities and a shorter driving time to Warsaw’s city centre.

摘要:本文研究了华沙向其郊区城市迁移的空间不均衡。我们报告了一种模拟郊区化的新方法:应用了几种线性和非线性预测模型，并使用可解释的人工智能方法来解释因变量和最重要回归量之间的关系形状。研究发现，支持向量回归算法对华沙郊区移民人数的预测最为准确。此外，我们发现移民会选择更富裕、城市化程度更高的城市，这些城市提供更好的制度设施，而且到华沙市中心的车程更短。

引用次数: 0

Anxiety about the pandemic and trust in financial markets 对疫情的焦虑和对金融市场的信任

4区经济学 Q2 Social Sciences

Annals of Regional Science

Pub Date : 2023-09-15 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-023-01243-0

Roy Cerqueti, Valerio Ficcadenti

Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic has generated a novel context of global financial distress. This paper enters the related scientific debate and focuses on the relationship between the anxiety felt by the population of a wide set of countries during the pandemic and the trust in the future performance of financial markets. Precisely, we move from the idea—grounded on some recent literature contributions—that the volume of Google searches about “coronavirus” can be considered as a proxy of anxiety and, jointly with the stock index prices, can be used to produce indicators of the population mood—in terms of pessimism and optimism—at country level. We analyse the “very high human developed countries” according to the Human Development Index plus China and the main stock market indexes associated with them. Namely, we propose both a time-dependent and a global indicator of pessimism and optimism and classify indexes and countries accordingly. The results show the existence of different clusters of countries and markets in terms of pessimism and optimism. Moreover, specific regimes emerge, with optimism increasing around the middle of June 2020. Furthermore, countries with different government responses to the pandemic have experienced different levels of mood indicators, so countries with less stringent lockdown measures had a higher level of optimism.

2019冠状病毒病大流行引发了全球金融危机的新背景。本文进入了相关的科学辩论，并重点关注大流行期间许多国家的人口所感受到的焦虑与对金融市场未来表现的信任之间的关系。准确地说，我们从基于最近一些文献贡献的观点出发，即谷歌关于“冠状病毒”的搜索量可以被视为焦虑的代表，并与股票指数价格一起，可用于在国家层面上产生悲观和乐观的人口情绪指标。我们根据人类发展指数加上中国以及与之相关的主要股市指数来分析“非常高人类发达国家”。也就是说，我们提出了一个时间依赖和悲观和乐观的全球指标，并相应地对指数和国家进行分类。结果表明，在悲观和乐观两方面存在不同的国家和市场集群。此外，具体的制度出现了，乐观情绪在2020年6月中旬左右增加。此外，政府对疫情采取不同应对措施的国家情绪指标水平不同，因此封锁措施不那么严格的国家乐观程度更高。

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引用次数: 0

Do diverse degree courses matter for university attractiveness? 多样化的学位课程对大学吸引力有影响吗？

IF 1.7 4区经济学 Q2 Social Sciences

Annals of Regional Science

Pub Date : 2023-09-06 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-023-01240-3

B. Biagi, L. Ciucci, Claudio Detotto, M. Pulina

引用次数: 0

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