Europe’s Energy Crisis; Winners of the Crisis with Market Data

Anıl Çağlar Erkan, Samet Gürsoy, Mesut Doğan, Sevdie Alshiqi
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Abstract

Prices of natural gas, coal, and electricity have risen to the highest level of the last ten years in the last quarter of 2021. It’s possible to express that energy prices in 2021 were much higher, compared to the crisis of 2020’s Covid-19 breakout’s historical descent in the first few months. There are a few factors to this rally. The epidemic caused structural fractions on a global scale. But in general, there is no doubt that crisis factors, which mainly concern Europe, are not limited (with) recovery process in the economy. With this notion, the main structure of this work’s subject aims to analyze the lead-up to the energy crisis that became apparent in 2021. Also, in the work, the energy crisis that’s been occurring will be analyzed thoroughly, with the help of its dynamics and causes. Within the scope of the study, the Hatemi-J (2012) asymmetric causality test was run using the weekly stock closing data of EU natural gas prices (EUGP), Gazprom (XGASPR), and Equinor (XEQUNR) for the period 05.11.2017–28.11.2021. As a result of the analysis, a causal relationship between the variables was determined. However, the work will positively contribute to the literature, being a guide to the current situations and overcoming the similar crisis that might occur in the future.
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欧洲能源危机;用市场数据分析危机的赢家
天然气、煤炭和电力的价格在2021年最后一个季度升至过去十年的最高水平。可以说,与2020年新冠疫情爆发的头几个月的历史性下跌相比,2021年的能源价格要高得多。这次反弹有几个因素。这种流行病在全球范围内造成了结构性的分裂。但总的来说,毫无疑问,主要关注欧洲的危机因素并不局限于经济复苏进程。有了这个概念,这个作品主题的主要结构旨在分析2021年显而易见的能源危机的起因。同时,在工作中,将对正在发生的能源危机进行深入的分析,帮助其动态和原因。在研究范围内,利用欧盟天然气价格(EUGP)、Gazprom (XGASPR)和Equinor (XEQUNR)在2017年11月5日至2021年11月28日期间的每周股票收盘数据进行了Hatemi-J(2012)非对称因果关系检验。作为分析的结果,确定了变量之间的因果关系。然而,这项工作将对文献做出积极贡献,作为对当前情况的指导,并克服未来可能发生的类似危机。
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来源期刊
Ekonomika Vilniaus Universitetas
Ekonomika Vilniaus Universitetas Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
15
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