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The Impact of Green Climate Fund Portfolio Structure on Green Finance: Empirical Evidence from EU Countries 绿色气候基金投资组合结构对绿色金融的影响:来自欧盟国家的经验证据
Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2023.102.2.7
Muhammad Mohsin, Azer Dilanchiev, Muhammad Umair
The financing sector drives the Future of Environmental Funds to achieve climate financing. In this study, we have employed panel regression analysis and the generalized two-step moment method (GMM) for the 25 EU countries from 2000 to 2021 to explore the relationship between green financing and the portfolio structure of green climate funds. According to the findings of this research, green financing significantly impacts quality economic growth. The GCFs enhance the capacity to channel public and private funding while contributing to de-risking more conventional forms of funding, increasing climate financing, and boosting the GCFs. In addition, the study concluded that Global Climate Support might fund nonbankable components of more significant “almost bankable projects” by analyzing the portfolio’s policies and methods.
融资部门推动未来环境基金实现气候融资。本研究采用面板回归分析和广义两步矩法(GMM)对欧盟25个国家2000 - 2021年的绿色融资与绿色气候基金投资组合结构的关系进行了探讨。研究发现,绿色融资显著影响经济质量增长。绿色气候基金提高了引导公共和私人资金的能力,同时有助于降低传统融资形式的风险,增加气候融资,并促进绿色气候基金的发展。此外,该研究得出结论,全球气候支持可以通过分析投资组合的政策和方法,为更重要的“几乎可融资项目”的非融资部分提供资金。
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引用次数: 3
Europe’s Energy Crisis; Winners of the Crisis with Market Data 欧洲能源危机;用市场数据分析危机的赢家
Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2023.102.2.8
Anıl Çağlar Erkan, Samet Gürsoy, Mesut Doğan, Sevdie Alshiqi
Prices of natural gas, coal, and electricity have risen to the highest level of the last ten years in the last quarter of 2021. It’s possible to express that energy prices in 2021 were much higher, compared to the crisis of 2020’s Covid-19 breakout’s historical descent in the first few months. There are a few factors to this rally. The epidemic caused structural fractions on a global scale. But in general, there is no doubt that crisis factors, which mainly concern Europe, are not limited (with) recovery process in the economy. With this notion, the main structure of this work’s subject aims to analyze the lead-up to the energy crisis that became apparent in 2021. Also, in the work, the energy crisis that’s been occurring will be analyzed thoroughly, with the help of its dynamics and causes. Within the scope of the study, the Hatemi-J (2012) asymmetric causality test was run using the weekly stock closing data of EU natural gas prices (EUGP), Gazprom (XGASPR), and Equinor (XEQUNR) for the period 05.11.2017–28.11.2021. As a result of the analysis, a causal relationship between the variables was determined. However, the work will positively contribute to the literature, being a guide to the current situations and overcoming the similar crisis that might occur in the future.
天然气、煤炭和电力的价格在2021年最后一个季度升至过去十年的最高水平。可以说,与2020年新冠疫情爆发的头几个月的历史性下跌相比,2021年的能源价格要高得多。这次反弹有几个因素。这种流行病在全球范围内造成了结构性的分裂。但总的来说,毫无疑问,主要关注欧洲的危机因素并不局限于经济复苏进程。有了这个概念,这个作品主题的主要结构旨在分析2021年显而易见的能源危机的起因。同时,在工作中,将对正在发生的能源危机进行深入的分析,帮助其动态和原因。在研究范围内,利用欧盟天然气价格(EUGP)、Gazprom (XGASPR)和Equinor (XEQUNR)在2017年11月5日至2021年11月28日期间的每周股票收盘数据进行了Hatemi-J(2012)非对称因果关系检验。作为分析的结果,确定了变量之间的因果关系。然而,这项工作将对文献做出积极贡献,作为对当前情况的指导,并克服未来可能发生的类似危机。
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引用次数: 0
Implementation of Non-state Pension Provision in Ukraine in the System of Strengthening Social Protection 乌克兰加强社会保障体系中非国有养老金的实施
Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2023.102.2.6
Oksana Cheberyako, Zakharii Varnalii, Viktoriia Нurochkina, Nataliia Miedviedkova
This paper is devoted to identifying the features and finding solutions to the problems of the formation and improvement of the non-state pension provision of Ukraine in the system of strengthening social security and preventing the degradation of the social structure. It presents the results of a study of emergent dynamics of the main performance indicators of non-state pension provision in Ukraine and the behavioural aspects of its beneficiaries when choosing a financial intermediary in the implementation of a new metadata specification based on three areas: banking institutions, non-state pension funds (NPFs) and life insurance companies. These results are the following: identification of key trends in non-state pension provision in Ukraine; disclosure of problems, obstacles, and major shortcomings of an organizational and legal nature; determination of directions for solving problems and the dominant factors in the development of non-state pension provision in Ukraine.
本文致力于在加强社会保障和防止社会结构退化的体系中,识别乌克兰非国有养老金制度形成和完善的特点,并寻找解决问题的方法。本文介绍了对乌克兰非国家养老金提供主要绩效指标的新兴动态的研究结果,以及在实施基于银行机构、非国家养老基金(npf)和人寿保险公司这三个领域的新元数据规范时选择金融中介机构时受益人的行为方面。这些结果如下:确定乌克兰非国家养老金提供的关键趋势;揭露组织和法律性质的问题、障碍和主要缺点;确定解决问题的方向和乌克兰非国有养老金提供发展的主导因素。
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引用次数: 0
Stock Market Response to Monetary Policy: Evidence from Iraq 股市对货币政策的反应:来自伊拉克的证据
Pub Date : 2023-10-05 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2023.102.2.5
Islam S.T. Babela, Shivan A.M. Doski
The current study seeks to assess the influence of monetary policy carried out by the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI henceforth) on stock market performance (SMP henceforth) from 2008 to 2021. Three monetary policy variables have been considered: money supply, inflation, and interest rate. Meanwhile, the number of transactions has measured the Iraqi Stock Exchange Market (ISX henceforth) performance. This study has used the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL henceforth) model by utilising monthly data. The results show that in the long term, the money supply and interest rates both have a negative impact on ISX performance. On the other hand, the findings have reported that inflation significantly and positively affects ISX performance. However, there was no indication of a relationship among the underlying variables in the short term. For investors and the appropriate authorities, these findings may have important implications.
本研究旨在评估2008年至2021年伊拉克中央银行(CBI)实施的货币政策对股市表现(SMP)的影响。我们考虑了三个货币政策变量:货币供应量、通货膨胀率和利率。与此同时,交易数量衡量了伊拉克证券交易所市场(ISX)的表现。本研究采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型,利用月度数据。结果表明,从长期来看,货币供应量和利率对ISX绩效都有负向影响。另一方面,研究结果表明,通货膨胀对ISX的表现有显著的积极影响。然而,在短期内,没有迹象表明潜在变量之间存在关系。对于投资者和有关当局来说,这些发现可能具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Does Tax Effort Moderate the Effect of Government Expenditure on Regional Economic Growth? A Dynamic Panel Data Evidence from Indonesia 税收努力是否能调节政府支出对区域经济增长的影响?来自印度尼西亚的动态面板数据证据
Pub Date : 2023-10-04 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2023.102.2.1
Khairul Amri, Raja Masbar, B. S. Nazamuddin, Hasdi Aimon
Our research study aims to analyze the effect of government expenditure on goods and services and capital toward regional economic growth in Indonesia. We position local tax effort as a moderating variable between economic growth and government expenditures. Using a panel data set of 24 provinces in Indonesia from 2006 to 2015, a dynamic model of GMM was applied to estimate the effect of public expenditure on growth. The research study provides empirical evidence that the two kinds of public spending positively and significantly affect economic growth. Conversely, local tax efforts negatively affect economic growth. Besides, local tax efforts also reduce the positive impact of capital expenditure on economic growth. In other words, local tax efforts negatively moderate the influence of government expenditure on the output growth of the regional economy.
我们的研究旨在分析印尼政府支出对商品和服务以及资本对区域经济增长的影响。我们将地方税收努力定位为经济增长和政府支出之间的调节变量。利用2006 - 2015年印度尼西亚24个省的面板数据集,运用GMM动态模型估计了公共支出对经济增长的影响。本研究提供了实证证据,证明两种公共支出对经济增长有显著的正向影响。相反,地方税收的努力会对经济增长产生负面影响。此外,地方税收的努力也降低了资本支出对经济增长的积极影响。换句话说,地方税收努力负向调节政府支出对区域经济产出增长的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Estimation of Traditional Phillips Curve 传统菲利普斯曲线的估计
Pub Date : 2023-10-04 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2023.102.2.3
Algirdas Bartkus
This article presents theoretical foundations for original Phillips curve formulation and an empirical investigation, where the structure of the theoretical model serves as a template for the creation of the empirical model.For a couple of decades the majority of empirical Phillips curve type assessments are performed using the New Keynesian Phillips curve with Calvo pricing as a benchmark for this type of relationship. New Keynesian model has solid microeconomic foundations, has proved itself very well in the analysis of price stickiness; nevertheless, it is not without limitations. The main insufficiency of New Keynesian model is that it has no direct links to the conditions and the changes that occur in the labour market. The need to encompass the conditions in labour market comes from the coincides that occur time to time when the growth rates of aggregate production may diminish or even become negative, but the level of employment may stay the same, what in turn means that the pressure on inflation won’t drop, despite the fact that production level has not increased as expected or even has decreased. This article aims to fill this gap and presents alternative theoretical foundations for Phillips curve, that lead to the model with direct links to the labour market. Theoretical foundations are necessary as they may help to minimize the risks to miss some important details or to omit important factors. Although the empirical analysis in this paper is based on Lithuanian data, it is not country specific.
本文提出了原始菲利普斯曲线公式的理论基础和实证研究,其中理论模型的结构为实证模型的创建提供了模板。几十年来,大多数实证菲利普斯曲线类型评估都是使用新凯恩斯主义菲利普斯曲线和卡尔沃定价作为这种关系的基准来进行的。新凯恩斯主义模型具有坚实的微观经济学基础,在价格粘性分析中得到了很好的证明;然而,它并非没有局限性。新凯恩斯主义模型的主要不足是它与劳动力市场中发生的条件和变化没有直接联系。将劳动力市场状况纳入其中的必要性来自于这样一种偶然性,即总生产增长率可能下降甚至变为负值,但就业水平可能保持不变,这反过来意味着通胀压力不会下降,尽管生产水平没有像预期的那样增长,甚至有所下降。本文旨在填补这一空白,并提出菲利普斯曲线的替代理论基础,从而导致模型与劳动力市场的直接联系。理论基础是必要的,因为它们可以帮助最大限度地减少遗漏一些重要细节或忽略重要因素的风险。虽然本文的实证分析是基于立陶宛的数据,但并非针对具体国家。
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引用次数: 0
The Nexus Between Institutional Quality and Inflation in Emerging Markets: A Panel Causality Test with a Fourier Function 新兴市场的制度质量与通货膨胀之间的联系:基于傅立叶函数的面板因果检验
Pub Date : 2023-06-06 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2023.102.1.8
Y. B. Çi̇çen
It is important to note that institutional quality has a substantial impact on a country's long-term economic growth, which influences other economic indicators, such as inflation and monetary policy. An in-depth examination of the existence of this crucial relationship was conducted by applying a novel and robust panel Yilanci Gorus Fourier causality test between 2000 and 2019 to 24 developing countries, in order to detect this relationship. A recent inflation rate, the standard deviation of inflation, and sound money are all interconnected and mutually causally related to property rights and the quality of the legal system. Weakness in institutions can exacerbate financial shocks, thereby affecting monetary indicators, and monetary policies will deteriorate the quality of the institution as a result.
值得注意的是,制度质量对一个国家的长期经济增长有着重大影响,而长期经济增长会影响通货膨胀和货币政策等其他经济指标。通过在2000年至2019年间对24个发展中国家应用一种新颖而稳健的Yilanci Gorus傅立叶因果关系检验,对这种关键关系的存在进行了深入的检验,以检测这种关系。最近的通货膨胀率、通货膨胀的标准差和健全的货币都与产权和法律制度的质量相互关联,相互因果。机构的薄弱会加剧金融冲击,从而影响货币指标,货币政策也会因此恶化机构的质量。
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引用次数: 0
SOE Corporate Governance Reform in Lithuania - Explained & Еmpirically Tested 立陶宛国有企业公司治理改革——解释与Еmpirically检验
Pub Date : 2023-05-29 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2023.102.1.7
Liudas Jurkonis, Šarūnas Merkliopas, Deividas Gabulas
Following previous research on management efficiency of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in Lithuania, this paper continues previous discussion via extension of the observed time period seeking to continuously analyze the impact of corporate governance principles to the management effectiveness of Lithuanian SOEs.For the purpose of this study, elements of corporate governance principles established in the initial reform of the SOEs in Lithuania are used as key dependent variables to measure and quantify the dynamics of corporate governance culture and its impact to the management efficiency of SOEs. Analysis performed is of a special importance as it covers the 10-year period (2010–2020) and could serve as a case study in analyzing practical implications of managerialism principles in public sector and SOEs specifically.New public management paradigm (Politt, 1993) combined with policy learning theory (Bennett, Howlett, 1992) are used as the theoretical background to explain the initiation and logical framework of SOE reform as well as the selection of variables used in this study. Additionally, principles of corporate governance established by OECD and other international organizations (OECD, 2015) are also used to enrich the analytical framework.The results of the analysis do not only prove that the implementation of corporate governance principles has a positive influence on the efficiency of management of SOEs, but also reveals additional factors that were not identified in the previous research – this impact is not static, but rather dynamic changing in accordance with the maturity of managerial practices within SOEs. The revealed dynamic nature of effects of the SOE policy should lead to the continuation of research seeking to expand it both geographically and vertically including other governmental organizations into the scope of future research.
继先前对立陶宛国有企业管理效率的研究之后,本文通过延长观察时间段继续先前的讨论,试图持续分析公司治理原则对立陶宛国有企管理效率的影响,立陶宛国有企业改革初期确立的公司治理原则要素被用作关键因变量,以衡量和量化公司治理文化的动态及其对国有企业管理效率的影响。所进行的分析具有特殊的重要性,因为它涵盖了10年(2010-2020年),可以作为分析管理主义原则在公共部门和国有企业中的实际影响的案例研究。以新公共管理范式(Politt,1993)和政策学习理论(Bennett,Howlett,1992)为理论背景,解释了国有企业改革的启动和逻辑框架,以及本研究中使用的变量的选择。此外,经合组织和其他国际组织制定的公司治理原则(经合组织,2015年)也用于丰富分析框架。分析结果不仅证明了公司治理原则的实施对国有企业的管理效率有积极影响,而且揭示了先前研究中没有发现的其他因素——这种影响不是静态的,而是随着国有企业管理实践的成熟而动态变化的。国有企业政策效果的动态性应导致研究的继续,寻求将其在地理和纵向上扩展,包括将其他政府组织纳入未来研究的范围。
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引用次数: 0
The Relationship Between Geopolitical Risk and Credit Default Swap Premium: Evidence from Turkey* 地缘政治风险与信用违约互换溢价的关系——来自土耳其的证据*
Pub Date : 2023-05-05 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2023.102.1.5
Esra Soyu Yıldırım, Munise Ilikkan Özgür
This study investigates the relationship between the geopolitical risk in Turkey arising out of the war and terror incidents happened in the region during the period 2003:01-2020:06 with the CDS premium. A two-step approach is undertaken for this assessment, in which an ARDL limit test and then a time-varying symmetric and asymmetric causality test are applied to study the possible causality vis-a-vis the subperiods. The ARDL limit test does not reject the hypothesis that there is a co-integrated relationship between CDS premium and geopolitical risk index. In addition, the time-varying symmetric and asymmetric test also identifies causality between CDS premium and geopolitical risk, and establishes periods where the latter influences the former variable both in a positive and negative way. In summary, both the ARDL limit test and the time-varying symmetric and asymmetric test deduce a causal relationship between the studied variables.
本研究探讨2003:01-2020:06期间土耳其因战争和恐怖事件而产生的地缘政治风险与CDS溢价之间的关系。该评估采用两步方法,首先采用ARDL极限检验,然后应用时变对称和非对称因果关系检验来研究与子周期相关的可能因果关系。ARDL极限检验并不否定CDS溢价与地缘政治风险指数之间存在协整关系的假设。此外,时变对称和非对称检验还确定了CDS溢价与地缘政治风险之间的因果关系,并确定了后者以积极和消极的方式影响前者变量的时期。综上所述,无论是ARDL极限检验还是时变对称和非对称检验,都推导出了研究变量之间的因果关系。
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引用次数: 0
The Capital Structure Determinants on Banking Sector of Western Balkan Countries 西巴尔干国家银行业资本结构的决定因素
Pub Date : 2023-05-05 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2023.102.1.6
Yllka Ahmeti, Albina Kalimashi, Ardi Ahmeti, Skender Ahmeti
The study examines the capital structure of the Western Balkan banking industry across the period 2015 - 2020. Forty-seven of the total Western Balkan-based commercial banks were included in the study. By constructing a balanced panel, this study uses pooled ordinary least squares fixed and random effects regressions to examine the relationship between bank book leverage as the dependent variable and bank-specific explanatory variables that include profitability, leverage ratio, bank size, earnings volatility, collateral, growth opportunities, and liquidity. These reports are examined using linear regression analysis. The study shows a significant positive relationship between profitability and book leverage for the period studied. In contrast, leverage ratio, earnings volatility, collateral, growth, and liquidity significantly negatively impact the book leverage of Western Balkan banks. The findings have practical implications for bank executives. They will assist them in identifying the bank-specific factors that influence the capital structure and selecting values that promote optimal capital structure. The findings of this study can help regulators develop an effective prudential framework. This study opens up new avenues for further research in this area for academics, researchers, and analysts.
该研究考察了2015-2020年期间西巴尔干银行业的资本结构。这项研究包括了位于西巴尔干半岛的47家商业银行。通过构建一个平衡面板,本研究使用普通最小二乘固定和随机效应回归来检验作为因变量的银行账面杠杆率与银行特定解释变量之间的关系,这些变量包括盈利能力、杠杆率、银行规模、收益波动性、抵押品、增长机会和流动性。使用线性回归分析对这些报告进行检查。该研究表明,在研究期间,盈利能力和账面杠杆率之间存在显著的正相关关系。相比之下,杠杆率、收益波动性、抵押品、增长和流动性对西巴尔干银行的账面杠杆率产生了显著的负面影响。这些发现对银行高管具有实际意义。他们将帮助他们确定影响资本结构的银行特定因素,并选择促进最佳资本结构的价值观。这项研究的发现可以帮助监管机构制定一个有效的审慎框架。这项研究为学者、研究人员和分析师在这一领域的进一步研究开辟了新的途径。
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引用次数: 0
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