Developing a CDY Model for Grapes and Experimentally Validating it with an Android App that Focuses on Agro-climatic and Disease Prevention Aspects

A. Eswari, JG Manjunatha
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Abstract

Introduction: Crop development and yield are both influenced by the weather. This study has developed and analytically resolved a general agro-climatic model for grapes. Methods: In the field of mathematical biology, researchers, professors, and academics will find this model useful. To create the final version of the model for yield prediction, the CDY model and asymptotic analyses have been performed. Climate, disease, and grape production have been taken into consideration as dependent characteristics during the model construction process. The frequency of infection, the occurrence of disease, seasonality, and the elimination of grape output throughout each harvest cycle have been viewed as distinct qualities. Moreover, the model has been examined, and field-level data have been used to estimate the parameters collected between 2016-2021 from the nearby villages of GRS and Theni. Results: A description of this model’s stability analysis has also been provided. An association has been determined between the numerical validity and stability of the given analytical solution analyses. In addition, the developed Android mobile app for grapes has been validated using the proposed model under the climatic scenario. Conclusion: It is advised to apply the created model to estimate grape yield based on the findings obtained. A useful technique for forecasting crop yield has thus been proposed in this study.
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开发葡萄的CDY模型,并在侧重于农业气候和疾病预防方面的Android应用上进行实验验证
作物的生长发育和产量都受天气的影响。本研究建立并解析解决了葡萄的一般农业气候模型。方法:在数学生物学领域,研究人员、教授和学者会发现这个模型很有用。为了创建产量预测模型的最终版本,进行了CDY模型和渐近分析。在模型构建过程中,气候、疾病和葡萄生产已被考虑为依赖特征。在每个收获周期中,感染的频率、疾病的发生、季节性和葡萄产量的消除被视为不同的品质。此外,还对该模型进行了检验,并使用现场数据来估计2016-2021年间从GRS和Theni附近村庄收集的参数。结果:给出了模型稳定性分析的描述。已经确定了给定解析解分析的数值有效性和稳定性之间的联系。此外,开发的Android手机葡萄应用程序已经在气候情景下使用所提出的模型进行了验证。结论:根据所得结果,建议应用所建立的模型对葡萄产量进行估算。因此,本研究提出了一种有用的作物产量预测技术。
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