Big Data and Machine Learning Framework for Temperature Forecasting

Q3 Engineering EAI Endorsed Transactions on Energy Web Pub Date : 2023-10-20 DOI:10.4108/ew.4195
A Mekala, Bhaskar Kamal Baishya, Kamarajugadda Tulasi Vigneswara Rao, Deepak A Vidhate, Vinayak A Drave, P Vishnu Prasanth
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Abstract

This research aims to develop a Supporting Big Data and ML with a Framework for temperature forecasting using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). The proposed framework utilizes a massive amount of historical weather data to train the ANN model, which can effectively learn the complex non- correlations that are linear with the parameters and temperature. The input variables include various weather parameters, such as humidity, wind speed, precipitation, and pressure. The framework involves three main stages: data pre-processing, model training, and temperature forecasting. In the data pre-processing stage, the raw weather data is cleaned, normalized, and transformed into a suitable format for model training. The data is then split into training, validation, and testing sets to ensure model accuracy. In model instruction stage, the ANN trained model using a backpropagation algorithm to adjust affected by the inherent biases and model based on the input and output data. The training process is iterative, and Using the validation, the efficiency of the model is measured. set to prevent overfitting. Finally, in the temperature forecasting stage, the trained ANN model is used to predict the temperature for a given set of weather parameters. The accuracy of the temperature forecasting is evaluated using the testing set, and the results are compared to other forecasting methods, such as statistical methods and numerical weather prediction models. The proposed framework has several advantages over traditional temperature forecasting methods. Firstly, it utilizes a vast amount of data, which enhances the accuracy of the forecast. Secondly, the ANN model can learn the interactions between the input variables that are not linear and temperature, which cannot be captured by traditional statistical methods. Finally, the framework can be easily extended to incorporate additional weather parameters or to forecast other environmental variables. The results of this research show that the proposed framework can effectively forecast temperature with high accuracy, outperforming traditional statistical methods and numerical weather prediction models. Therefore, it has the potential to improve weather forecasting and contribute to various applications, such as agriculture, energy management, and transportation.
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温度预测的大数据和机器学习框架
本研究旨在开发一个支持大数据和机器学习的框架,用于使用人工神经网络(ANN)进行温度预测。该框架利用大量历史天气数据对人工神经网络模型进行训练,可以有效地学习与参数和温度呈线性关系的复杂非相关性。输入变量包括各种天气参数,如湿度、风速、降水和压力。该框架包括三个主要阶段:数据预处理、模型训练和温度预测。在数据预处理阶段,对原始天气数据进行清理、归一化,并将其转换为适合模型训练的格式。然后将数据分成训练集、验证集和测试集,以确保模型的准确性。在模型指导阶段,人工神经网络利用反向传播算法来调整受固有偏差影响的模型,并根据输入和输出数据建立模型。训练过程是迭代的,并通过验证来衡量模型的效率。设置为防止过拟合。最后,在温度预测阶段,使用训练好的人工神经网络模型对给定的一组天气参数进行温度预测。利用测试集评估了温度预报的准确性,并将结果与其他预报方法(如统计方法和数值天气预报模型)进行了比较。与传统的温度预测方法相比,该框架具有许多优点。首先,它利用了大量的数据,提高了预测的准确性。其次,人工神经网络模型可以学习非线性输入变量与温度之间的相互作用,这是传统统计方法无法捕获的。最后,该框架可以很容易地扩展,以纳入额外的天气参数或预测其他环境变量。研究结果表明,该框架能够有效、准确地预测气温,优于传统的统计方法和数值天气预报模式。因此,它有潜力改善天气预报,并有助于各种应用,如农业、能源管理和运输。
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来源期刊
EAI Endorsed Transactions on Energy Web
EAI Endorsed Transactions on Energy Web Energy-Energy Engineering and Power Technology
CiteScore
2.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
14
审稿时长
10 weeks
期刊介绍: With ICT pervading everyday objects and infrastructures, the ‘Future Internet’ is envisioned to undergo a radical transformation from how we know it today (a mere communication highway) into a vast hybrid network seamlessly integrating knowledge, people and machines into techno-social ecosystems whose behaviour transcends the boundaries of today’s engineering science. As the internet of things continues to grow, billions and trillions of data bytes need to be moved, stored and shared. The energy thus consumed and the climate impact of data centers are increasing dramatically, thereby becoming significant contributors to global warming and climate change. As reported recently, the combined electricity consumption of the world’s data centers has already exceeded that of some of the world''s top ten economies. In the ensuing process of integrating traditional and renewable energy, monitoring and managing various energy sources, and processing and transferring technological information through various channels, IT will undoubtedly play an ever-increasing and central role. Several technologies are currently racing to production to meet this challenge, from ‘smart dust’ to hybrid networks capable of controlling the emergence of dependable and reliable green and energy-efficient ecosystems – which we generically term the ‘energy web’ – calling for major paradigm shifts highly disruptive of the ways the energy sector functions today. The EAI Transactions on Energy Web are positioned at the forefront of these efforts and provide a forum for the most forward-looking, state-of-the-art research bringing together the cross section of IT and Energy communities. The journal will publish original works reporting on prominent advances that challenge traditional thinking.
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