Fiscal risk management in Ukraine under new challenges

Diana Tretiak, Alim Sizov, Nataliia Miedviedkova, Tetiana Murovana, Anna Karpych
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Abstract

This article examines fiscal risks and their management in Ukraine and abroad, drawing on international best practices. The main aim is to analyze global risks in the short and long term and evaluate how public finances have been managed in Ukraine and other countries during economic crises, while suggesting areas for improvement. The study utilized various scientific methods, including the structural-functional method to uncover risk management mechanisms within public finance systems and the comparative method to contrast key indicators of Ukraine's public finance system with those of other nations. Key findings include the identification of primary tools used nationally and internationally to mitigate the impact of fiscal shocks during crises. Budgetary practices from different countries were also examined, emphasizing fiscal rules, social expenditure allocation, and incentives for innovation and investment. The research highlights how global challenges and economic crises have led countries to adopt different approaches based on their economic development and risk management integration into fiscal processes. Recommendations are provided to enhance fiscal risk management measures in Ukraine, particularly in the ongoing wartime context. In conclusion, this article underscores the importance of effective fiscal risk management and offers specific suggestions to strengthen fiscal risk management practices in Ukraine, considering current circumstances and unforeseen challenges.
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新挑战下的乌克兰财政风险管理
本文借鉴国际最佳实践,考察了乌克兰和国外的财政风险及其管理。主要目的是分析短期和长期的全球风险,评估乌克兰和其他国家在经济危机期间如何管理公共财政,同时提出需要改进的领域。本研究运用了多种科学方法,包括结构-功能法揭示公共财政系统内的风险管理机制,以及比较法将乌克兰公共财政系统的关键指标与其他国家进行对比。主要发现包括确定国内和国际上用于减轻危机期间财政冲击影响的主要工具。还审查了不同国家的预算做法,强调财政规则、社会支出分配以及鼓励创新和投资。该研究强调了全球挑战和经济危机如何导致各国根据其经济发展和将风险管理纳入财政流程而采取不同的方法。提出了建议,以加强乌克兰的财政风险管理措施,特别是在目前的战时情况下。综上所述,本文强调了有效的财政风险管理的重要性,并在考虑到当前情况和不可预见的挑战的情况下,提出了加强乌克兰财政风险管理实践的具体建议。
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