THE EFFECT OF INFORMAL ECONOMY ON HUMAN CAPITAL DEVELOPMENT

Temitope Sade AKINTUNDE, Abiodun Samuel ISAYOMI
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Abstract

This study investigated the effect of the informal economy on human capital development and the direction of causality between informal economy and human capital development in Nigeria from 1970 to 2019. The study objectives were achieved by analysing annual time series data sourced from the World Development Indicators and Central Bank of Nigeria using the autoregressive distributed lag estimation technique and the Toda-Yamamoto causality test. Findings from the study showed positive long-run effect of informal economy on human capital development. The result from this study also revealed unidirectional causality flowing from informal economy to human capital development. Consequently, this study concluded that engagement in informal economic activities is beneficial to human capital development in Nigeria. Following these findings, Nigerian policy makers aiming to achieve human capital development should implement comprehensive policies which facilitate the competitiveness and growth of informal economic activities.
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非正式经济对人力资本发展的影响
本研究考察了1970 - 2019年尼日利亚非正规经济对人力资本发展的影响,以及非正规经济与人力资本发展的因果关系方向。通过使用自回归分布滞后估计技术和Toda-Yamamoto因果检验分析来自世界发展指标和尼日利亚中央银行的年度时间序列数据,实现了研究目标。研究结果表明,非正规经济对人力资本发展具有积极的长期影响。研究结果还揭示了非正规经济对人力资本发展的单向因果关系。因此,本研究得出结论,参与非正式经济活动有利于尼日利亚的人力资本发展。根据这些发现,旨在实现人力资本开发的尼日利亚决策者应实施促进非正规经济活动的竞争力和增长的综合政策。
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