Examination of the Relationship Between the Stock Market and Income Inequality by B-VAR Method

Gülden Poyraz, Duygu Kalkay
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Abstract

The relationship between financialization and income distribution stands out with globalization. The financial system plays an important role in the generation and distribution of income. In this context, the aim of the study is to analyze the relationship between stock markets and income inequality in Türkiye. The study analyzes whether there is a long-run relationship between the series for the period 2002-2021 using the B-VAR method, which allows estimating the relationship between indicators with a priori information. Thus, the impact of changes in the stock market on the probability of affecting the fairness of income distribution is analyzed. Thus, the effect of the changes in the stock market on the probability of affecting the income distribution is examined. According to the results of B-VAR analysis, the effect of GINI coefficient on both BIST price and BIST return series is not statistically significant. This suggests that stock market investments are not correlated with income distribution but are rather short-term and profit oriented. At the same time, the fact that there are more foreign investors in BIST 100 during the period analyzed does not affect the insignificance of this relationship.
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用B-VAR方法检验股票市场与收入不平等的关系
随着全球化的发展,金融化与收入分配的关系日益突出。金融体系在收入的产生和分配中起着重要作用。在此背景下,本研究的目的是分析股票市场与收入不平等之间的关系。该研究使用B-VAR方法分析了2002-2021年期间该系列之间是否存在长期关系,该方法允许使用先验信息估计指标之间的关系。从而分析股票市场变动对影响收入分配公平概率的影响。因此,股票市场的变化对影响收入分配的概率的影响进行了检验。根据B-VAR分析结果,基尼系数对科技股价格和科技股收益序列的影响均无统计学意义。这表明股市投资与收入分配无关,而是短期的、以利润为导向的。与此同时,在所分析的时间段内,BIST 100的外国投资者有所增加,但这并不影响这种关系的不显著性。
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