Investigation of the Production Structure of the Food Industry with Input-Output Analysis: An Empirical Application on Turkey

Hakan Sönmez
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Abstract

Recently, the rising food prices have contributed to inflation in Turkey. It has been crucial to analyze the interconnections between the food sector and other sectors of the economy to understand these price dynamics. The aim of this study is to determine the production structure and linkages of the Turkish food sector with other sectors utilizing input-output analysis. The input-output table for the study has provided by the World Input-Output Database. The findings indicate that the food sector requires 0.6477 units of input from other sectors to produce one unit of output. The direct forward linkage coefficient, which measures the input required by other sectors from the food sector, is estimated at 0.4385. The “hosting and catering service activities” sector is identified as the most demanding sector for the food sector’s output, after its own sector, with a share of 0.1267. This finding demonstrates a significant input flow from the food sector to the “accommodation and food service” sector. The total backward and forward linkages for the food sector are computed as 2.0381 and 1.6833 respectively. Therefore, indicating changes in food sector production has significantly influenced other sectors. Both the total backward linkage index value (1.3409) and the total forward linkage index value (1.1075) exceed a certain threshold. This result reveals that the food sector key role in the Turkish economy with push and pull effect on other sectors. It is recommended that prioritize incentive policies that have strong linkages with the food sector and evaluate investment decisions accordingly.
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基于投入产出分析的食品产业生产结构研究——以土耳其为例
最近,不断上涨的食品价格加剧了土耳其的通货膨胀。分析食品部门和其他经济部门之间的相互联系,以了解这些价格动态,这一点至关重要。本研究的目的是利用投入产出分析确定土耳其食品部门与其他部门的生产结构和联系。本研究的投入产出表由世界投入产出数据库提供。研究结果表明,粮食部门需要0.6477单位其他部门的投入才能生产1单位产出。直接前向联动系数,衡量其他部门从食品部门所需的投入,估计为0.4385。“招待和餐饮服务活动”行业被确定为对食品行业产出要求最高的行业,仅次于其本身的行业,占比为0.1267。这一发现表明,食品部门向“住宿和食品服务”部门投入了大量资金。食品行业的总反向和正向联系分别为2.0381和1.6833。因此,粮食部门生产的变化对其他部门产生了重大影响。反向联动总索引值(1.3409)和正向联动总索引值(1.1075)均超过一定阈值。这一结果揭示了食品部门在土耳其经济中的关键作用与其他部门的推拉效应。建议优先考虑与粮食部门有密切联系的激励政策,并据此评价投资决定。
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