Base industrial e sistema setorial de defesa elementos conceituais e proposta de mensuração

Abstract

This work seeks to define conceptual elements between the Defense Industrial Base (DIB) and the Sectoral Innovation System (SIS) to formulate a measurement proposal for the DIB in the Brazilian case. Considering this theoretical framework and national specificities, a methodology is developed for assessing three demand components: internal, external, and R&D. For the time period between 2007 and 2020, it is observed that the Brazilian DIB grew from R$ 1 billion in 2007 to R$ 3 billion in 2012, maintaining a stable pattern from there onwards. While the primary component of the DIB is defense R&D, this growth was influenced by increased purchases of medium-high and high-technology-intensive goods, driven by strategic defense projects defined in the National Defense Strategy (END), which did not persist in the following years. It is important to increase defense R&D and exports in different years to maintain the total value of the DIB. Finally, a comparison between what is referred to as the “revealed DIB” (the measured DIB) and the total defense production capacity (generalized DIB) is suggested, revealing findings such as (i) a reflection of the deindustrialization process with a decrease in the share of higher-technology-intensive products, and (ii) the possible limited scope of the procurement policy through the revealed DIB due to the reduction in the measured productive capacity in the generalized DIB.