Default Process Modeling and Credit Valuation Adjustment

David Xiao
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Abstract

This paper presents a convenient framework for modeling default process and pricing derivative securities involving credit risk. The framework provides an integrated view of credit valuation adjustment by linking distance-to-default, default probability, survival probability, and default correlation together. We show that risky valuation is Martingale in our model. The framework reduces the technical issues of performing risky valuation to the same issues faced when performing the ordinary valuation. The numerical results show that the model prediction is consistent with the historical observations.
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违约过程建模与信用评估调整
本文提出了一个方便的框架来建模违约过程和定价涉及信用风险的衍生证券。该框架通过将违约距离、违约概率、生存概率和违约相关性联系在一起,提供了信用估值调整的综合视图。在我们的模型中,风险估值是鞅。该框架将执行风险估值的技术问题简化为执行普通估值时面临的相同问题。数值结果表明,模式预测结果与历史观测结果基本一致。
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