On an Optimal Stopping Problem with a Discontinuous Reward

Anne Mackay, Marie-Claude Vachon
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Abstract

We study an optimal stopping problem with an unbounded, time-dependent and discontinuous reward function. This problem is motivated by the pricing of a variable annuity (VA) contract with guaranteed minimum maturity benefit, under the assumption that the policyholder's surrender behaviour maximizes the contract's risk-neutral value. We consider a general fee and surrender charge function, and give a condition under which optimal stopping always occurs at maturity. Using an alternative representation for the value function of the optimization problem, we study its analytical properties and the resulting surrender (or exercise) region. In particular, we show that the non-emptiness and the shape of the surrender region are fully characterized by the fee and the surrender charge functions, which provides a powerful tool for understanding the link between fees and surrender functions and how they affect early surrender and the optimal surrender boundary. When the fee and surrender charge only depend on time, we develop three different representations of the value function; two are analogous to their American option counterpart, and one is new to the actuarial and American option pricing literature. Our results allow for the development of new algorithms for the valuation of variable annuity contracts. We provide three such algorithms, based on continuous-time Markov chain approximations. The efficiency of these three algorithms is studied numerically and compared to other commonly used approaches.
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一类具有不连续奖励的最优停止问题
研究了一类具有无界、时变、不连续奖励函数的最优停止问题。在假设投保人的退保行为最大化了合同的风险中性价值的前提下,以保证最低到期收益的可变年金(VA)合同的定价激励了这一问题。考虑了一般收费和退让收费函数,给出了在成熟时总是发生最优停止的条件。利用优化问题的值函数的一种替代表示,我们研究了它的解析性质和由此产生的投降(或练习)区域。特别是,我们证明了非空性和投降区域的形状完全由收费和投降收费函数表征,这为理解收费和投降函数之间的联系以及它们如何有效地投降和最优投降边界提供了有力的工具。当费用和退让费仅取决于时间时,我们开发了三种不同的价值函数表示;其中两种与美国期权类似,另一种是精算和美国期权定价文献中的新概念。我们的结果允许开发新的算法来评估可变年金合同。我们提供了三个这样的算法,基于非连续时间马尔可夫链近似。对这三种算法的效率进行了数值研究,并与其他常用方法进行了比较。
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