Opposition Media, State Censorship, and Political Accountability: Evidence from Chavez’s Venezuela

Brian Knight, Ana Tribin
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Abstract

This study investigates the effects of state censorship in the context of the 2007 government closing of RCTV, a popular opposition television channel in Venezuela. Some parts of the country had access to a second opposition channel, Globovision, while other parts completely lost access to opposition television. The first finding, based upon ratings data, is that viewership fell on the progovernment replacement, following the closing of RCTV, but rose on Globovision in areas with access to the signal. Based upon this switching, the paper investigates whether support for Chavez fell in areas that retained access to opposition television, relative to those that completely lost access. Using three measures, Latinbarometer survey data, electoral returns, and data on protest activity, the second finding is that support for Chavez fell in municipalities that retained access to opposition television, relative to municipalities that lost access to opposition television. Taken together, these two findings suggest that voters switching from censored outlets to uncensored outlets can limit the effectiveness of state censorship.
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反对派媒体、国家审查和政治问责:来自查韦斯委内瑞拉的证据
本研究调查了2007年政府关闭RCTV(委内瑞拉一个受欢迎的反对派电视频道)的背景下国家审查制度的影响。该国一些地区可以收看第二个反对派频道Globovision,而其他地区则完全无法收看反对派电视台。根据收视率数据得出的第一个发现是,在RCTV关闭后,亲政府电视台的收视率有所下降,但在有信号的地区,globbovision电视台的收视率有所上升。基于这种转变,本文调查了查韦斯的支持率是否在保留反对派电视频道的地区下降,相对于那些完全失去电视频道的地区。通过使用拉丁晴雨表调查数据、选举结果和抗议活动数据这三种测量方法,第二个发现是,查韦斯的支持率在保留反对派电视频道的城市下降,相对于失去反对派电视频道的城市而言。综上所述,这两项发现表明,选民从受审查的渠道转向未受审查的渠道,可能会限制国家审查的有效性。
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