A generalized Hosmer–Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test for a family of generalized linear models

IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Test Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI:10.1007/s11749-023-00912-8
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Abstract

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are very widely used, but formal goodness-of-fit (GOF) tests for the overall fit of the model seem to be in wide use only for certain classes of GLMs. We develop and apply a new goodness-of-fit test, similar to the well-known and commonly used Hosmer–Lemeshow (HL) test, that can be used with a wide variety of GLMs. The test statistic is a variant of the HL statistic, but we rigorously derive an asymptotically correct sampling distribution using methods of Stute and Zhu (Scand J Stat 29(3):535–545, 2002) and demonstrate its consistency. We compare the performance of our new test with other GOF tests for GLMs, including a naive direct application of the HL test to the Poisson problem. Our test provides competitive or comparable power in various simulation settings and we identify a situation where a naive version of the test fails to hold its size. Our generalized HL test is straightforward to implement and interpret and an R package is publicly available.

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广义线性模型族的广义 Hosmer-Lemeshow 拟合度检验
摘要 广义线性模型(GLM)的应用非常广泛,但对模型总体拟合程度的正式拟合优度(GOF)检验似乎只广泛用于某些类别的 GLM。我们开发并应用了一种新的拟合优度检验,类似于著名且常用的 Hosmer-Lemeshow (HL) 检验,可用于多种 GLM。该检验统计量是 HL 统计量的变种,但我们使用 Stute 和 Zhu 的方法(Scand J Stat 29(3):535-545, 2002)严格推导出了渐近正确的抽样分布,并证明了其一致性。我们将新检验方法的性能与 GLM 的其他 GOF 检验方法进行了比较,包括将 HL 检验方法直接应用于泊松问题的天真检验方法。我们的检验在各种模拟环境中都具有竞争力或可比性,而且我们还发现了一种情况,即天真版本的检验无法保持其规模。我们的广义 HL 检验可以直接实施和解释,并且有一个公开的 R 软件包。
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来源期刊
Test
Test 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
2.20
自引率
7.70%
发文量
41
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: TEST is an international journal of Statistics and Probability, sponsored by the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research. English is the official language of the journal. The emphasis of TEST is placed on papers containing original theoretical contributions of direct or potential value in applications. In this respect, the methodological contents are considered to be crucial for the papers published in TEST, but the practical implications of the methodological aspects are also relevant. Original sound manuscripts on either well-established or emerging areas in the scope of the journal are welcome. One volume is published annually in four issues. In addition to the regular contributions, each issue of TEST contains an invited paper from a world-wide recognized outstanding statistician on an up-to-date challenging topic, including discussions.
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