The housing market in Poland during the Covid-19 pandemic

IF 1.1 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Archives of Civil Engineering Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI:10.24425/ace.2023.147666
Marek Bryx, Izabela Rudzka, Janusz Sobieraj
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Abstract

: This article examines the impact of economic factors, such as changes in interest rates and inflation,ontheprimaryhousingmarketinPolandfromJanuary2019toSeptember2022,withparticular focusontheCovid-19pandemic.Theresearchproblemistounderstandhowtheseeconomicfactorshave affected the housing market, and the research objective is to analyze the activity of developers, building permits issued, investments started, and housing loans granted. The research methodology involves the analysis of data from various sources, including official statistics and reports from developers and investment funds. The research findings suggest that the decreased demand for housing loans has led to a significant decline in the allocation of new housing. However, the emergence of new major players, such as leading European and global investment funds, could provide opportunities for developers. The study concludes that caution is warranted in starting new construction activity and that the best performance in housing production in the transition period to 2021 is unlikely to be exceeded in the current or subsequent years. The implications of this study are that developers need to consider economic factors and market trends when making decisions about new construction and that investment funds may play an increasingly important role in the housing market.
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科维德-19 大流行病期间波兰的住房市场
:本文研究了 2019 年 1 月至 2022 年 9 月期间利率和通胀变化等经济因素对波兰初级住房市场的影响,尤其关注了科维德-19 疫情。研究问题在于了解这些经济因素如何影响了住房市场,研究目标是分析开发商的活动、发放的建筑许可证、启动的投资和发放的住房贷款。研究方法包括分析各种来源的数据,包括官方统计数据以及开发商和投资基金的报告。研究结果表明,住房贷款需求的减少导致了新建住房分配的显著下降。然而,新的主要参与者,如欧洲和全球领先的投资基金的出现,可能会为开发商提供机会。研究得出的结论是,在开始新的建设活动时需要谨慎,在 2021 年之前的过渡期内,住房生产的最佳表现不太可能在当前或随后几年被超越。本研究的意义在于,开发商在做出新建筑决策时需要考虑经济因素和市场趋势,投资基金可能会在住房市场中发挥越来越重要的作用。
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来源期刊
Archives of Civil Engineering
Archives of Civil Engineering ENGINEERING, CIVIL-
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
28.60%
发文量
0
审稿时长
24 weeks
期刊介绍: ARCHIVES OF CIVIL ENGINEERING publish original papers of the theoretical, experimental, numerical and practical nature in the fields of structural mechanics, soil mechanics and foundations engineering, concrete, metal, timber and composite polymer structures, hydrotechnical structures, roads, railways and bridges, building services, building physics, management in construction, production of construction materials, construction of civil engineering structures, education of civil engineers.
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