Real Option Valuation Methodology for Household-Scale Renewable Energy Systems

S. Srinivasan, Vamshi Krishna Reddy Kottam
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Abstract

The installation of household-scale renewable energy (RE) assets including the likes of solar home systems, micro-wind turbines, pico-hydro systems, biomass space heaters and improved cook-stoves, offers householders various benefits. These include the possibility of working longer hours, enhancing the efficiency of production processes, improving the quality of life, and of gaining greater control over their immediate environment. In several settings, artisans pursuing the same vocation work from homes located in clusters. Consequent to procuring and deploying the RE asset, the community of individual investors bestows upon itself the option to derive incremental money incomes. This is subject to each member’s access to working-capital credit and raw material,skill levels and levels of effort, productivity, and more. This paper argues that householders assess the option to derive incremental incomes and go on to makethe investment decision in RE micro-infrastructure based on the estimated value of such options. The model so developed is applied to a community of silk weavers in southern India to estimate the premiumsthatinvestors pay to opt into derivingincremental incomes. This study could estimate that by installing a Solar Home System, a weaver could derive an economic benefit of 17.36% and an intangible benefit of 82.64% of the amount invested into the asset.
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家庭规模可再生能源系统的实际期权评估方法
安装家庭规模的可再生能源(RE)资产,包括家用太阳能系统、微型风力涡轮机、微型水力发电系统、生物质空间加热器和改良炉灶等,可为家庭带来各种好处。这些好处包括可以延长工作时间、提高生产流程的效率、改善生活质量以及更好地控制周围环境。在一些情况下,从事相同职业的工匠都在集中在一起的家中工作。在购买和使用可再生能源资产后,个人投资者社区可以选择获得更多的货币收入。这取决于每个成员获得营运资本信贷和原材料的机会、技能水平和努力程度、生产率等等。本文认为,住户会对获得增量收入的选择进行评估,然后根据这些选择的估计价值做出对可再生能源微观基础设施的投资决策。所开发的模型适用于印度南部的一个丝织者社区,以估算投资者为获得增量收入而支付的溢价。这项研究可以估算出,通过安装家用太阳能系统,纺织工人可以获得该资产投资额的 17.36% 的经济收益和 82.64% 的无形收益。
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