Determinants of Profitability and Risk-taking in Pakistani Commercial Banks: Dynamic GMM Approach

Changjun Zheng, Shumaila Meer, Atif Nadeem, Samina Parveen
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Abstract

The study used interest rate, exchange rate and banks size as variables of study. The panel data of 22 Pakistan commercial banks about2009 to 2020, STATA Panel Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and general methods of moments (GMM) estimator is used, and results indicate that in Pakistani banks management efficiency is has high power over shareholder to make profits and involve in risk taking projects. Bank size increase highlights better performance but and a disadvantage to use funds in investments for future growth. Diversification in banks is not a helpful factor to bring change in risk portfolios during financial crises. The liquidity inverse relation causes less availability of resource to boost financial performance and default lending result in credit risk. High proportion of assets utilized for personnel expense raise risk-taking ratio for operation in Pakistan. Banks should avoid the adverse selection of risks with proper performance policy, as to safeguard from hostile economic situations.
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巴基斯坦商业银行盈利能力和风险承担的决定因素:动态 GMM 方法
本研究将利率、汇率和银行规模作为研究变量。研究使用了 2009 年至 2020 年巴基斯坦 22 家商业银行的面板数据、STATA 面板普通最小二乘法(OLS)和一般矩量法(GMM)估计方法,结果表明,巴基斯坦银行的管理效率比股东有更大的权力来获取利润和参与风险承担项目。银行规模的扩大凸显了更好的业绩,但同时也不利于将资金用于未来增长的投资。在金融危机期间,银行的多元化并不能帮助改变风险组合。流动性的反比关系导致可用来提高财务业绩的资源减少,违约贷款导致信用风险。在巴基斯坦,用于人员开支的资产比例较高,这提高了银行运营的风险承担率。银行应通过适当的绩效政策来避免对风险的不利选择,以抵御不利的经济形势。
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