THE IMPACT OF TRADE, FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (FDI), AND ECONOMIC GROWTH ON CARBON DIOXIDE (CO2) EMISSIONS IN SELECTED ASIAN COUNTRIES

Yu Tian Li
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Abstract

This study examines the impact of trade, foreign direct investment (FDI), and economic growth on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in Selected Asian countries for the period 1990 to 2019. The objectives of this study are (1) to investigate the relationship between trade and CO2 emission, (2) to investigate the relationship between FDI and CO2 emission, and (3) to investigate the relationship between economic growth and CO2 emission. This study uses ordinary least squares (OLS) method to analyze the data. Multicollinearity test, heteroskedasticity test, and serial correlation test were also used to check the stability of the model. In addition, Granger causality test was applied to this study. The results show that there is a significant positive correlation between economic growth and CO2 emissions. If GDP increases by 1%, the average CO2 emission will increase by 0.186%, holding other variables constant. The explanation of trade and FDI on CO2 emissions is insignificant. Multicollinearity, heteroskedasticity and serial correlation are not present in the model of this study. Finally, the results of Granger causality test show that there is no Granger causality between independent variables and dependent variable. The government establishes better environmental regulations and strengthens the regulation of chemical and heavy industry sectors. Promoting technological advancement and investment in new energy technologies, government focus on energy efficiency and environmental initiatives in the corporate sector can effectively curb the growth of CO2 emissions.
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部分亚洲国家的贸易、外国直接投资(FDI)和经济增长对二氧化碳(CO2)排放的影响
本研究探讨了1990年至2019年期间部分亚洲国家的贸易、外国直接投资(FDI)和经济增长对二氧化碳(CO2)排放的影响。本研究的目标是:(1)研究贸易与二氧化碳排放之间的关系;(2)研究外国直接投资与二氧化碳排放之间的关系;(3)研究经济增长与二氧化碳排放之间的关系。 本研究采用普通最小二乘法(OLS)对数据进行分析。为了检验模型的稳定性,还使用了多重共线性检验、异方差检验和序列相关检验。此外,本研究还采用了格兰杰因果检验。 结果表明,经济增长与二氧化碳排放之间存在显著的正相关关系。在其他变量不变的情况下,如果 GDP 增加 1%,二氧化碳平均排放量将增加 0.186%。贸易和外国直接投资对二氧化碳排放量的影响不明显。本研究的模型不存在多重共线性、异方差和序列相关性。最后,格兰杰因果检验结果表明,自变量与因变量之间不存在格兰杰因果关系。 政府制定更好的环境法规,加强对化工和重工业部门的监管。促进技术进步和对新能源技术的投资、政府对能源效率的重视以及企业部门的环保举措可以有效抑制二氧化碳排放量的增长。
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