MALIGNANT NEOPLASMS OF THE RESPIRATORY AND THORACIC ORGANS IN THE REMOTE PERIOD IN MALES OF ALTAI KRAI AFFECTED BY FIRST NUCLEAR TEST AT SEMIPALATINSK TEST SITE

Anton O Kovrigin, I. Kolyado
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Abstract

The morbidity of malignant neoplasms of respiratory organs and thorax in the remote period in the male population born from 1932 to 1949 in rural settlements of Altai Krai and traced during the first trial was evaluated. Purpose: To study the morbidity of malignant neoplasms of respiratory and thoracic organs in the remote period in the male population born in 1932-1949 and located in the zone of influence of the first test. METHODS: The cohort study was based on the examination of anonymized data and operational information on first-time detected and morphologically verified cases of malignant neoplasms from 2007 to 2016. A cohort fixed by the date of the first nuclear test of 6383 individuals was studied. The main (exposed) cohort included 2291 people and the control (unexposed) cohort included 4092 people. In the cohort, 156 cases of respiratory and thoracic malignant neoplasm were identified. Person-time incidence rate PtR, standard error (mPtR) and confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated. The incidence of respiratory and thoracic malignant neoplasms, structure and relative risk were assessed. Statistical processing of data was performed using Microsoft Office 2016 licensed software. Results: The number of person-years spent at risk of respiratory and thoracic malignant neoplasms in the male population in the main cohort is equal to 16731 person-years, in the control cohort - 30747. The person-time incident rate (PtR) in the main cohort was 436.32 105 person-years, with an mPtR of 51.07 and confidence intervals (95% CI) of 334.18 to 538.45, while in the control cohort the PTR was 269.95 105 person-years with an mPtR of 29.63 and (95% CI) of 210.68 to 329.21, respectively. Leading localizations: bronchial and lung and laryngeal malignancies. Conclusions. We found an increased relative risk of respiratory and thoracic malignancies in the male population in the remote period (RR=1.616; (95% CI) 1.180 - 2.214), with a standard error of relative risk (s) equal to 0.160.
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受塞米巴拉金斯克试验场首次核试验影响的阿尔泰边疆区男性远期呼吸器官和胸部器官恶性肿瘤的情况
对阿尔泰边疆区农村地区1932-1949年出生并在第一次试验中被追踪的男性人口在远期呼吸器官和胸部恶性肿瘤的发病率进行了评估。目的:研究 1932-1949 年出生且位于第一次试验影响区内的男性人口在远期呼吸器官和胸部恶性肿瘤的发病率。方法:该队列研究基于对 2007 年至 2016 年间首次发现并经形态学验证的恶性肿瘤病例的匿名数据和业务信息的检查。研究的队列以首次核试验日期为准,共有 6383 人。主要(暴露)队列包括 2291 人,对照(未暴露)队列包括 4092 人。队列中发现了 156 例呼吸道和胸部恶性肿瘤病例。计算了个人时间发病率 PtR、标准误差 (mPtR) 和置信区间 (95%CI)。评估了呼吸系统和胸部恶性肿瘤的发病率、结构和相对风险。数据的统计处理使用 Microsoft Office 2016 授权软件进行。结果在主要队列中,男性人口中呼吸系统和胸部恶性肿瘤风险年数为 16731 人年,在对照队列中为 30747 人年。主要队列的人次发病率(PtR)为 436.32 105 人年,mPtR 为 51.07,置信区间(95% CI)为 334.18 至 538.45,而对照队列的人次发病率(PTR)为 269.95 105 人年,mPtR 为 29.63,置信区间(95% CI)为 210.68 至 329.21。主要发病部位:支气管、肺部和喉部恶性肿瘤。结论。我们发现,在偏远地区,男性人群罹患呼吸道和胸部恶性肿瘤的相对风险增加(RR=1.616;(95% CI)1.180 - 2.214),相对风险的标准误差 (s) 等于 0.160。
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