The Author’s Methodology of Forecasting Election Results on the Basis of Big Data

A. S. Kozin
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Abstract

   Internet mass media provides their readers with an opportunity to express their opinions on topics (comments) being published. For this purpose each article inserted in the Internet is connected with certain means of communication. These comments are taken seriously by mass media as they contain valuable information that helps find out feelings of Internet users. Social networks generate a vast amount of unstructured data due to their use by thousands of users. Therefore, our research aims at substantiation and use of machine learning (artificial intellect) approach in order to analyze users’ feelings through comments on YouTube dealing with press-conferences given by nominated candidates. Obtained results show feasibility of the approach. The author proposes other ways of its modernization.
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作者基于大数据预测选举结果的方法论
互联网大众媒体为读者提供了就所发表的主题(评论)发表意见的机会。为此,在互联网上发表的每篇文章都与某些通信手段相连。这些评论受到大众媒体的重视,因为它们包含有助于了解网民感受的宝贵信息。由于社交网络有成千上万的用户使用,因此会产生大量非结构化数据。因此,我们的研究旨在证实和使用机器学习(人工智能)方法,以便通过 YouTube 上有关提名候选人新闻发布会的评论分析用户的感受。研究结果表明了该方法的可行性。作者还提出了其他现代化方法。
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