Habitat suitability and connectivity modelling predict a latitudinal-driven expansion in the Mediterranean basin for a historically introduced reptile

IF 1.8 3区 生物学 Q3 ECOLOGY European Journal of Wildlife Research Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI:10.1007/s10344-024-01780-9
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Abstract

Species introductions outside their native ranges, often driven by trade and other anthropogenic activities, present significant ecological challenges. Reptiles, frequently traded as pets for their attractiveness, are particularly susceptible to such introductions, leading to shifts in distribution patterns and potential ecological impacts. The common chameleon (Chamaeleo chamaeleon), which has been historically introduced in several European countries, is such an example, yet no overall assessments are available to date for this species. In this study, we used ecological niche models to assess habitat suitability for the common chameleon in the Mediterranean basin for current and future scenarios. Concurrently, circuit theory techniques were employed to evaluate habitat connectivity in two historically introduced areas. We identified areas of high habitat suitability and dispersal corridors in introduced regions. Our results reveal a latitudinal gradient in habitat suitability changes, with the species facing both expansion and decline in different parts of its range, depending on the ecozone considered. Severe declines are noted in southeastern Spain, Tunisia, and Israel, while habitat suitability increases westwards in Portugal, Morocco, and Southern Italy. These insights contribute to a better understanding of the common chameleon’s ecological dynamics, providing a foundation for targeted management and conservation efforts. Our study highlights the importance of integrating ecological niche modelling and circuit theory techniques to predict habitat suitability and identify critical dispersal corridors for effective conservation strategies. Considering the ongoing challenges posed by human-mediated dispersals for the common chameleon, our research establishes a foundation for future studies to enhance our understanding of this elusive species.

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栖息地适宜性和连通性建模预测了一种历史上引进的爬行动物在地中海盆地的纬度扩张
摘要物种引入其原生地以外的地区,通常是由贸易和其他人为活动驱动的,这给生态带来了重大挑战。爬行类动物因具有吸引力而经常被当作宠物进行交易,它们特别容易受到此类引入的影响,从而导致分布模式的改变和潜在的生态影响。历史上曾被引入多个欧洲国家的普通变色龙(Chamaeleo chamaeleon)就是这样一个例子,但迄今为止还没有关于该物种的全面评估。在这项研究中,我们使用生态位模型来评估地中海盆地常见变色龙在当前和未来情况下的栖息地适宜性。同时,我们还采用了电路理论技术来评估两个历史上引入地区的栖息地连通性。我们确定了引入地区的高生境适宜性区域和扩散走廊。我们的研究结果揭示了栖息地适宜性变化的纬度梯度,根据所考虑的生态区,该物种在其分布的不同地区既面临扩张也面临衰退。在西班牙东南部、突尼斯和以色列,栖息地适宜性严重下降,而在葡萄牙、摩洛哥和意大利南部,栖息地适宜性则向西增加。这些见解有助于更好地了解普通变色龙的生态动态,为有针对性的管理和保护工作奠定了基础。我们的研究强调了将生态位建模和回路理论技术相结合来预测栖息地适宜性和识别关键扩散走廊以制定有效保护策略的重要性。考虑到人类介导的扩散给普通变色龙带来的持续挑战,我们的研究为未来的研究奠定了基础,以增进我们对这一难以捉摸的物种的了解。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
5.00%
发文量
68
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: European Journal of Wildlife Research focuses on all aspects of wildlife biology. Main areas are: applied wildlife ecology; diseases affecting wildlife population dynamics, conservation, economy or public health; ecotoxicology; management for conservation, hunting or pest control; population genetics; and the sustainable use of wildlife as a natural resource. Contributions to socio-cultural aspects of human-wildlife relationships and to the history and sociology of hunting will also be considered.
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