Mission-oriented scenarios in “Turin 2030 – future proof” project

IF 2.3 Q3 REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING Foresight Pub Date : 2024-03-11 DOI:10.1108/fs-06-2023-0119
Claudio Marciano, Alex Fergnani, Alberto Robiati
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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to propose an innovative and efficient process in urban policy-making that combines a divergent and creative method with a convergent and strategic one. At the same time, the purpose is also to propose a useful innovation to enforce the usability of both methods. On the one hand, mission-oriented policies run the risk of being overly focused on the present and of not being able to develop preparedness in organization. On the other hand, scenario development has the reverse problem it often does not point out how to use scenario narratives to inform and devise short-term strategic actions.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper proposes an innovative methodological approach, the mission-oriented scenarios, which hybridizes Mazzucato's mission-oriented public policy framework with Jim Dator's Manoa school four futures method. The proposed methodological innovation emerges from a urban foresight academic-led project carried out in the context of the Metropolitan City of Turin, Italy, where a first application of the mission-oriented scenarios was tested on six different focal issues (from reindustrialization to cultural policies) and the scenario narratives were used as sources for the grounding of 12 missions and 48 strategic actions towards 2030.

Findings

Mission-oriented scenarios can contribute to the generation of more sustainable and inclusive urban public policies. This methodological proposal is based on an original mix of knowledge exchange procedures borrowed from methodological approaches with different backgrounds: the mission-oriented and the archetypal scenarios. Their conjunction could support the formulation of ambitious yet pragmatic policies, giving a plurality of actors the opportunity to act and establish fruitful and lasting partnerships.

Originality/value

The paper reconstructs one of the first urban foresight projects carried out in a major Italian city by two prestigious universities and exposes a methodological innovation resulting from reflection on the strengths and weaknesses of the project, which opens the door to the development of a new scenario technique.

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都灵 2030--面向未来 "项目中以任务为导向的设想方案
本研究的目的是提出一种创新和高效的城市决策程序,它将发散性和创造性方法与聚合性和 战略性方法相结合。同时,目的还在于提出一种有益的创新,以加强这两种方法的可用性。一方面,以任务为导向的政策有可能过于关注当前,而无法在组织结构中培养备灾能力。设计/方法/方法 本文提出了一种创新的方法论--任务导向情景,它将马祖卡托的任务导向公共政策框架与吉姆-达托的马诺阿学派四种未来方法混合在一起。在意大利都灵大都会开展的一个由学术界主导的城市展望项目中,首次应用了以使命为导向的情景模拟法,对六个不同的焦点问题(从再工业化到文化政策)进行了测试,并将情景模拟法的叙述作为基础,制定了面向 2030 年的 12 项使命和 48 项战略行动。这一方法论建议基于从不同背景的方法论中借鉴的知识交流程序的原创组合:任务导向情景和原型情景。它们的结合可以为制定雄心勃勃但又务实的政策提供支持,让多方参与者有机会采取行动并建立富有成果的持久合作关系。
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来源期刊
Foresight
Foresight REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING-
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
5.00%
发文量
45
期刊介绍: ■Social, political and economic science ■Sustainable development ■Horizon scanning ■Scientific and Technological Change and its implications for society and policy ■Management of Uncertainty, Complexity and Risk ■Foresight methodology, tools and techniques
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