Technology foresight in Indonesia: developing scenarios to determine electrical vehicle research priority for future innovation

IF 2.3 Q3 REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING Foresight Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI:10.1108/fs-09-2023-0194

Jaizuluddin Mahmud, Pudji Hastuti, Muhammad Fauzan Rafif, Lambas Parlaungan Panggabean, Irawan Santoso, Sarjono, Manifas Zubair, Rizki Arizal Purnama, Andika Dwi Saputra, Yosa Permata Shafira, Angy Sonia

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to determine research areas that are most favorable in supporting the development and manufacturing of electric vehicle (EV) components locally in Indonesia for 2025–2035. Therefore, will provide direction for the formulation of the related government policies and programs. Consequently, an EV technology research priority must be identified.

Design/methodology/approach

A technology foresight (TF) procedure which consists of a STEEPV analysis, followed by scenarios development and expert elicitation techniques, was conducted to determine an EV technology research priority that may direct future specific local component innovations, and therefore businesses.

Findings

The results of this study indicate that research in a range of EV battery technologies, technologies relating to a variety of key components (to increase local content) and autonomous systems were important to support the local development and manufacturing of EV components in Indonesia.

Research limitations/implications

In this study, the scenarios development process was conducted based on selected available experts, mostly internally from BRIN. Some biased opinions may be present.

Originality/value

There have not been any TF studies regarding the development of EV technology research priority in Indonesia.

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印度尼西亚的技术展望：制定情景方案以确定未来创新的电动汽车研究重点

目的本研究旨在确定最有利于支持 2025-2035 年印尼本地电动汽车 (EV) 部件开发和制造的研究领域。因此，将为相关政府政策和计划的制定提供方向。因此，必须确定电动汽车技术研究的优先重点。设计/方法/途径为确定电动汽车技术研究的优先重点，我们采用了技术展望（TF）程序，该程序包括 STEEPV 分析，然后是情景开发和专家征询技术。研究结果本研究的结果表明，研究一系列电动汽车电池技术、与各种关键部件相关的技术（以提高本地含量）和自主系统对于支持印度尼西亚电动汽车部件的本地开发和制造非常重要。原创性/价值目前还没有任何关于印尼电动汽车技术研究重点发展的 TF 研究。

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来源期刊

Foresight REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING-

CiteScore

5.10

自引率

5.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： ■Social, political and economic science ■Sustainable development ■Horizon scanning ■Scientific and Technological Change and its implications for society and policy ■Management of Uncertainty, Complexity and Risk ■Foresight methodology, tools and techniques