Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Highland Areas in Kastamonu, Turkey

IF 3.3 2区地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Anthropocene Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI:10.1016/j.ancene.2024.100432

Ezgi Gur , Sahin Palta , Halil Baris Ozel , Tugrul Varol , Hakan Sevik , Mehmet Cetin , Nurhan Kocan

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Abstract

This study aimed to assess the potential impact of global climate change on the highland areas of Kastamonu, a significant province in Turkey known for its numerous and varied highlands. The investigation focused on 59 selected highland locations within the region. Using the De Martonne climate classification, projections were made for four future periods (2040, 2060, 2080, and 2100) under two scenarios: SSPs 245 and SSPs 585. The outcomes of the study indicate that the highlands under scrutiny are susceptible to substantial effects from global climate change. Notably, these climatic alterations are expected to become evident within the next two decades, predominantly manifesting as a shift towards arid climate classifications. These shifts are anticipated to have a profound impact on the composition and diversity of species in the highland ecosystems. Based on the findings, it is advisable to consider interventions for the most climate-sensitive highland areas, such as facilitating the migration of species adapted to the new climate conditions and implementing initiatives to enhance species diversity. These efforts could help mitigate the potential loss of species and populations resulting from climate change.

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评估气候变化对土耳其卡斯塔莫努高原地区的影响

这项研究旨在评估全球气候变化对卡斯塔莫努高原地区的潜在影响，卡斯塔莫努是土耳其的一个重要省份，以其众多而多样的高原而闻名。调查重点是该地区选定的 59 个高地。采用 De Martonne 气候分类法，在两种情景下对未来四个时期（2040 年、2060 年、2080 年和 2100 年）进行了预测：SSPs 245 和 SSPs 585。研究结果表明，所研究的高地很容易受到全球气候变化的严重影响。值得注意的是，这些气候变化预计将在未来二十年内变得明显，主要表现为气候分类向干旱转变。预计这些变化将对高原生态系统的物种组成和多样性产生深远影响。根据研究结果，最好考虑对气候最敏感的高原地区采取干预措施，如促进适应新气候条件的物种迁移，以及实施提高物种多样性的举措。这些努力有助于减轻气候变化可能造成的物种和种群损失。

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来源期刊

Anthropocene Earth and Planetary Sciences-Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous)

CiteScore

6.30

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

102 days

期刊介绍： Anthropocene is an interdisciplinary journal that publishes peer-reviewed works addressing the nature, scale, and extent of interactions that people have with Earth processes and systems. The scope of the journal includes the significance of human activities in altering Earth’s landscapes, oceans, the atmosphere, cryosphere, and ecosystems over a range of time and space scales - from global phenomena over geologic eras to single isolated events - including the linkages, couplings, and feedbacks among physical, chemical, and biological components of Earth systems. The journal also addresses how such alterations can have profound effects on, and implications for, human society. As the scale and pace of human interactions with Earth systems have intensified in recent decades, understanding human-induced alterations in the past and present is critical to our ability to anticipate, mitigate, and adapt to changes in the future. The journal aims to provide a venue to focus research findings, discussions, and debates toward advancing predictive understanding of human interactions with Earth systems - one of the grand challenges of our time.