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Differential impact of climate and land use change on habitat suitability of migrant passerines according to habitat preferences 根据栖息地偏好,气候和土地利用变化对候鸟栖息地适宜性的不同影响
IF 3.3 2区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.ancene.2024.100447

Our study contributes to the ongoing dialogue on the impact of climate and habitat changes on migratory bird species, particularly focusing on how these effects vary based on species’ habitat preferences. We used citizen science data for 22 African-Eurasian migratory bird species and categorized them into five groups based on habitat preferences, following the classification methodology of Atkinson et al. (2014). Using ensemble species distribution modeling (SDM), we projected changes in potentially suitable habitats across Africa from 2040 to 2100 under contrasting climate and land use scenarios. Our results indicate a differential impact of climate and land use changes on habitat suitability, with species preferring habitats with shrubs and trees being the most vulnerable. Conversely, other group species, such as open country-grassland and farmland birds could experience a significant increase in suitable habitat. We anticipate a profound change in habitat suitability, with the western part of South Africa becoming unsuitable for most species, while an increase in suitable habitat is expected in the Sahel. Bioclimatic rather than land use variables emerged as the primary drivers of these changes. The extent of change in habitat suitability will be strongly influenced by the Shared Socio-economic Pathways followed by human societies.

我们的研究为正在进行的关于气候和栖息地变化对候鸟物种的影响的对话做出了贡献,特别是侧重于这些影响如何根据物种的栖息地偏好而变化。我们使用了 22 种非洲-欧亚候鸟的公民科学数据,并按照阿特金森等人(2014 年)的分类方法,根据栖息地偏好将它们分为五组。利用集合物种分布模型(SDM),我们预测了在不同的气候和土地利用情景下,2040 年至 2100 年整个非洲潜在适宜栖息地的变化。我们的结果表明,气候和土地利用变化对栖息地适宜性的影响各不相同,喜欢灌木和乔木栖息地的物种最容易受到影响。相反,其他类群的物种,如开阔的乡村草原鸟类和农田鸟类的适宜栖息地可能会显著增加。我们预计,栖息地的适宜性将发生深刻变化,南非西部将变得不适合大多数物种,而萨赫勒地区的适宜栖息地则会增加。这些变化的主要驱动因素是生物气候变量而非土地利用变量。栖息地适宜性的变化程度将受到人类社会所遵循的共同社会经济路径的强烈影响。
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引用次数: 0
Ecosystem based approach to assess the impact of invasive or expanding species in the lower Saône River 以生态系统为基础评估索恩河下游入侵或扩张物种的影响
IF 3.3 2区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ancene.2024.100446

The spread of invasive alien species is identified as one of the most important threats to freshwater ecosystems as they can modify their trophic structure, biomass and flows. The lower Saône River is one of the most biologically productive waterways in France. It has been in strong interaction with a wide range of human activities such as fisheries for at least three millennia. To implement an ecosystem based approach, an Ecopath static trophic model was used for the first time in this river to quantify the role of three invasive or expanding species over two contrasted periods (1988–1993 and 1994–2005). The parameters used in the model integrate on the one hand catch data from fishers (professional, amateur fishing gear users, and anglers), and on the other hand the available literature data on species biomass, diet and the expert assessments of scientists and managers. Species such as the filtering Asian clam Corbicula fluminea may explain the triggering of the ecosystem shift towards a functioning where summer phytoplankton blooms are rarer. In the high trophic levels, the great cormorant Phalacrocorax carbo appears to have low trophic impact while the development of a large population of European catfish Silurus glanis has a strong effect, maintaining important trophic flows in the ecosystem in substitution for the decrease in angling landings.

外来入侵物种的传播被认为是淡水生态系统面临的最重要威胁之一,因为它们会改变淡水生态系统的营养结构、生物量和水流。索恩河下游是法国生物产量最高的水道之一。至少三千年来,它一直与渔业等各种人类活动密切相关。为了采用基于生态系统的方法,我们首次在这条河流中使用了 Ecopath 静态营养模型,以量化三个入侵或扩张物种在两个不同时期(1988-1993 年和 1994-2005 年)所起的作用。模型中使用的参数一方面综合了渔民(专业渔民、业余渔具使用者和垂钓者)的渔获量数据,另一方面综合了关于物种生物量、食性的现有文献数据以及科学家和管理人员的专家评估。滤食性亚洲蛤蜊(Corbicula fluminea)等物种可能是引发生态系统向夏季浮游植物较少繁殖的功能转变的原因。在高营养级中,大鸬鹚的营养影响似乎较小,而欧洲鲶鱼(Silurus glanis)的大量繁殖则产生了强大的影响,维持了生态系统中重要的营养流,替代了垂钓上岸量的减少。
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引用次数: 0
Projected navigability of Arctic shipping routes based on climate model FIO-ESM v2.1 根据气候模型 FIO-ESM v2.1 预测的北极航道通航能力
IF 3.3 2区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.ancene.2024.100445

As Arctic sea ice has rapidly declined, the navigational potential of the Arctic routes has greatly increased. Based on sea ice output from the First Institute Of Oceanography-Earth System Model version 2.1 (FIO-ESM v2.1) and the Arctic Transport Accessibility Model, this study investigates the future navigability of the Arctic routes for open-water ships (OW) without icebreaking capabilities and ships with different icebreaking capabilities, namely Polar Class 7 (PC7), Polar Class 6 (PC6), and Polar Class 3 (PC3). The results show that the simulations of FIO-ESM v2.1 adequately reproduce the changes in the navigability of the four types of ships in Arctic shipping routes over the past 40 years. The navigable area for the four ship types is projected to continue to expand in the future. Under the high emission scenario (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5–8.5, SSP585), the four ship types are projected to achieve full Arctic navigability in summer (September) by the end of the 21st century, and PC6 and PC3 ships are projected to achieve full Arctic navigability in winter (March). Under the high emission scenario, year-round navigability in the Northwest Passage is projected for PC3 and PC6 ships, and in the Northeast Passage is projected for all four types of ships. The impact of emission scenario on the navigability of the Arctic shipping routes varies with different ship types: the largest impact is for OW ships, followed by PC6 and PC7 ships, and the smallest impact is for PC3 ships. The impact of scenario is also larger in winter than in summer.

随着北极海冰的迅速减少,北极航线的通航潜力大大增加。本研究基于第一海洋研究所-地球系统模型 2.1 版(FIO-ESM v2.1)的海冰输出和北极运输可达性模型,研究了不具备破冰能力的开阔水域船舶(OW)和具备不同破冰能力的船舶(即极地 7 级(PC7)、极地 6 级(PC6)和极地 3 级(PC3))未来在北极航线上的通航能力。结果表明,FIO-ESM v2.1 的模拟充分再现了过去 40 年来四类船舶在北极航道上的通航能力变化。预计未来四种类型船舶的通航区域将继续扩大。在高排放情景下(共享社会经济路径 5-8.5,SSP585),预计到 21 世纪末,四种类型的船舶将在夏季(9 月)实现完全北极通航,PC6 和 PC3 船舶将在冬季(3 月)实现完全北极通航。在高排放情景下,预计 PC3 和 PC6 船舶在西北航道全年通航,所有四种类型船舶在东北航道全年通航。排放情景对北极航道通航性的影响因船舶类型而异:影响最大的是 OW 型船舶,其次是 PC6 和 PC7 型船舶,影响最小的是 PC3 型船舶。排放情景在冬季的影响也大于夏季。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of repeated drawdown flushing on riverbed fine sediment dynamics downstream from a dam 反复缩减冲刷对大坝下游河床细沙动力学的影响
IF 3.3 2区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.ancene.2024.100444

Sediment accumulation in reservoirs is frequently a problem, impelling dam managers to implement strategies such as drawdown flushing to limit siltation. Drawdown and other sediment removal methods may induce riverbed clogging downstream of dams, especially in river sections where water is diverted, thereby reducing transport capacity. In this study, we investigate the effects of drawdown flushing downstream of the Plan d’Arem run-of-the-river dam (Upper Garonne, Spain – France border) using an adaptive inter-site comparison strategy to consider a range of spatial and temporal conditions, which allow us to separate the effects of dam storage and flushing from other potential factors. Drawdown flushing has been undertaken three times during the study period over a short span of time (2 months). We couple bed material sampling, which provides direct information on bed composition, with airborne infrared thermal imaging to better interpret whether fine sediment interstitial storage within the bed is associated with clogging. We also measure bed surface grain size and bed mobility in order to investigate their potential role in controlling fine sediment dynamics. We identify surface grain size and water diversion as the main factors controlling fine sediment spatial distribution, with coarse-grained bed-surfaces and by-passing promoting fine sediment enrichment. As a result, sites located upstream and within the by-passed reached of the Plan d’Arem dam show higher fine sediment interstitial storage than sites downstream from the by-passed reach. Results from thermal imagery demonstrate such interstitial storage does not induce clogging effect. The reaches with the most important sediment storage host a high number of cool-water patches, indicating water exchanges with the hyporheic zone. Post-flushing bed composition indicates systematic export of fine sediments from the bed matrix at all sites after the first operation, afterwards fine levels remain low after the second and the third flushing. The low impact of dam flushing in term of clogging is interpreted by the fact that the interstitial material is very sandy.

水库中的泥沙淤积经常成为一个问题,迫使大坝管理者采取缩减冲刷等策略来限制泥沙淤积。缩编和其他泥沙清理方法可能会导致大坝下游河床堵塞,尤其是在水流被分流的河段,从而降低运输能力。在本研究中,我们采用适应性现场间比较策略,对 Plan d'Arem(西班牙与法国交界处的上加龙河)河道大坝下游的缩减冲刷效果进行了调查,以考虑一系列空间和时间条件,从而将大坝蓄水和冲刷的效果与其他潜在因素区分开来。在研究期间,我们在短时间内(2 个月)进行了三次缩减冲刷。我们将提供河床组成直接信息的河床材料取样与机载红外热成像相结合,以更好地解释河床内细小沉积物的间隙存储是否与堵塞有关。我们还测量了床面粒度和床面流动性,以研究它们在控制细沉积物动力学方面的潜在作用。我们发现,表层粒度和水流分流是控制细小沉积物空间分布的主要因素,而粗粒床面和旁通则会促进细小沉积物的富集。因此,位于 Plan d'Arem 大坝上游和旁通河段内的地点比旁通河段下游的地点显示出更高的细沉积物间隙储量。热成像结果表明,这种间隙储存不会产生堵塞效应。沉积物储量最大的河段有大量的冷水斑块,这表明河水与下垫面有交换。冲淤后的河床组成表明,在第一次冲淤后,所有地点的河床基质都系统地输出了细小沉积物,而在第二次和第三次冲淤后,细小沉积物的含量仍然很低。坝体冲洗对堵塞的影响较小,这是因为坝体间隙物质为砂质。
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引用次数: 0
20th century climate warming and human disturbance triggered high aquatic production and strong water-column mixing in maar Lake Xiaolongwan, northeastern China 20 世纪气候变暖和人为干扰引发中国东北小龙湾湖水产高产和水柱强烈混合
IF 3.3 2区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.ancene.2024.100442
Luyao Tu , Hongpan Xue , Xin Zhou , Xuanqiao Liu , Paul D. Zander , Tao Huang , Lize Meng , Wangyang Kan , Changchun Huang , Martin Grosjean

Lake ecosystems in northeastern (NE) China are sensitive to global environmental change, and are currently under threats of eutrophication and hypolimnetic anoxia. However, the lack of long-term records of lake production and anoxia in this region makes it difficult to discriminate the impacts of recent anthropogenic activity on lake ecosystems from natural ecosystem variability. This study investigates varved sediments from remote maar Lake Xiaolongwan, NE China and reconstructs high-resolution changes in lake primary production, anoxia, nutrient cycling and catchment processes over the past 1500 years using hyperspectral imaging inferred sedimentary total chlorophyll-a and bacteriopheophytin-a (Bphe-a), combined with sedimentary iron and phosphorus fractions data. Results show that, prior to discernible human impacts in this area from ∼600 CE to 1900 CE, lake primary production was higher during warm periods and reduced during cold periods. Bphe-a records show that hypolimnetic anoxia persisted regardless of temperature variability. Cluster analysis suggests that lake algal communities and biogeochemical conditions in the twentieth-century warm period are unprecedented and significantly different from any other time over the past 1500 years. This phenomenon mostly results from global warming and stronger local catchment disturbance in the early 1900s, combined with atmospheric pollution after the 1950s. Human-driven climate warming has caused stronger seasonal mixing (due to shortened ice-cover duration) and overall better oxygenation in the lake. This study demonstrates clear anthropogenic impacts to lake ecosytems in a relatively pristine region in NE China. We anticipate that our findings will have implications for understanding the status of aquatic ecosystems in NE China under future interacting stressors of anthropogenic climate warming and pollution.

中国东北地区的湖泊生态系统对全球环境变化非常敏感,目前正受到富营养化和低渗缺氧的威胁。然而,该地区缺乏湖泊生成和缺氧的长期记录,因此很难区分近期人为活动对湖泊生态系统和自然生态系统变异的影响。本研究调查了中国东北偏远地区小龙湾湖的变质沉积物,并利用高光谱成像推断沉积物总叶绿素-a和细菌叶绿素-a(Bphe-a),结合沉积物铁和磷组分数据,重建了过去1500年间湖泊初级生产、缺氧、营养循环和集水过程的高分辨率变化。结果表明,在公元前 600 年至公元前 1900 年这一地区受到明显的人类影响之前,温暖时期的湖泊初级生产力较高,而寒冷时期则较低。Bphe-a记录显示,无论温度如何变化,下沉缺氧现象一直存在。聚类分析表明,20 世纪温暖时期的湖泊藻类群落和生物地球化学条件是前所未有的,与过去 1500 年的任何其他时期都有显著不同。这一现象主要源于 20 世纪初的全球变暖和更强的局部流域扰动,以及 20 世纪 50 年代后的大气污染。人类驱动的气候变暖造成了更强的季节性混合(由于冰盖持续时间缩短)和湖泊整体含氧量的提高。这项研究表明,在中国东北一个相对原始的地区,人为因素对湖泊生态系统产生了明显的影响。我们预计,我们的研究结果将对了解中国东北地区水生生态系统在未来人为气候变暖和污染等相互作用的压力下的状况产生影响。
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引用次数: 0
Nature-based solutions for urban challenges 以自然为基础解决城市挑战
IF 3.3 2区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ancene.2024.100443
Zahra Kalantari, Haozhi Pan, Lenka Slavikova, Georgia Destouni, Carla Sofia Santos Ferreira
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引用次数: 1
Divergent sensitivity of primary producers and benthic invertebrates to hydrological alteration in floodplain lakes 洪泛平原湖泊中初级生产者和底栖无脊椎动物对水文变化的不同敏感性
IF 3.3 2区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-06-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.ancene.2024.100441
Linghan Zeng , Stefan Engels , Yanmin Cao , Xianyu Huang , Xu Chen

Floodplain lake ecosystems are hydrologically dynamic and biologically important. Their ecosystem functioning is complex due to the concurrent influence of multiple anthropogenic stressors. Paleolimnological studies focused on a single biotic proxy might lead to biased results, as multiple trophic levels may show different responses to the same driver. In this study, multiple proxies including chlorophyll and carotenoid pigments (indicators of phytoplankton) and chironomids (indicators of invertebrates) were analyzed in a 210Pb dated sediment core from Luhu Lake (Yangtze floodplain, China). Using these indicators, we investigated how different trophic levels respond to external driving forces (i.e., hydrological alteration represented by K/Al ratios and nutrient influxes indicated by TP) in floodplain lakes. Sedimentary pigments showed that algal production increased in Luhu Lake after the 2000s. The chironomid community shifted from a fauna dominated by Microchironomus tener-type to an assemblage characterized by macrophyte-dwelling taxa (e.g., Tanytarsus, Paratanytarsus, Paratanytarsus penicillatus-type) after the 1970s. Finally, nutrient-tolerant taxa (e.g., Microchironomus tabarui-type) increased in abundance after the 1990s. Redundancy analysis and hierarchical partitioning analysis showed that the increases in algal production were mainly correlated with anthropogenic nutrient influxes, followed by hydrological alteration. In contrast, the transition in the chironomid communities were mainly associated with hydrological alteration, followed by food sources. Our study revealed asynchronous responses of phototrophs and benthic invertebrates to hydrological alteration, highlighting the necessity of analyzing multiple trophic levels to obtain a sophisticate understanding of long-term ecosystem evolution in lotic floodplain lakes which are influenced by multiple stressors. These findings will provide valuable information for the sustainable development, as well as the conservation and restoration of floodplain lakes.

洪泛平原湖泊生态系统具有水文动态和生物重要性。由于同时受到多种人为压力因素的影响,它们的生态系统功能非常复杂。侧重于单一生物代用指标的古气候学研究可能会导致结果偏差,因为多个营养级可能会对同一驱动因素表现出不同的反应。本研究分析了泸沽湖(中国长江洪积平原)210Pb年代沉积物岩芯中的多种代用指标,包括叶绿素和类胡萝卜素色素(浮游植物的指标)以及摇蚊(无脊椎动物的指标)。利用这些指标,我们研究了洪泛平原湖泊中不同营养级如何对外部驱动力(即以 K/Al 比值表示的水文变化和以 TP 表示的营养涌入)做出响应。沉积色素显示,麓湖的藻类产量在 2000 年代后有所增加。摇蚊群落在 20 世纪 70 年代后从以 Tener 型摇蚊为主的动物群落转变为以大型底栖生物(如 Tanytarsus、Paratanytarsus、Paratanytarsus penicillatus-type)为主的群落。最后,耐营养盐类群(例如,Microchironomus tabarui-type)在 20 世纪 90 年代后数量增加。冗余分析和层次分区分析表明,藻类产量的增加主要与人为营养物质流入有关,其次是水文变化。相比之下,摇蚊群落的变化主要与水文变化有关,其次是食物来源。我们的研究揭示了光营养体和底栖无脊椎动物对水文变化的不同步响应,突出了分析多营养级的必要性,从而对受多种压力影响的洪泛平原湖泊生态系统的长期演变有了更深入的了解。这些发现将为洪泛平原湖泊的可持续发展、保护和恢复提供有价值的信息。
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引用次数: 0
Fire exclusion, pyrogenic carbon, and ecosystem function: What have we lost? 火灾排斥、热原碳和生态系统功能:我们失去了什么?
IF 3.6 2区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ancene.2024.100438
Si Gao , Cristina Eisenberg , Scott L. Morford , Thomas H. DeLuca

Settler colonialism and active fire exclusion greatly eliminated recurrent fire from forests and grasslands in the United States. Pyrogenic carbon (PyC), a key legacy of fire and a stable form of carbon (C) in soils, has inadvertently been lost with the cessation of biomass burning. Using a simple simulation, we estimate that fire exclusion from grasslands over the last 125 years has resulted in a loss of 963–1,028 Tg of PyC, approximately equivalent to a 12% - 22% decline in the soil PyC reservoir. This loss of PyC from grassland ecosystems and the lack of introduction of fresh PyC has likely had a significant impact on soil health in the Great Plains. To rebuild this lost stable C pool and the associated ecosystem function of PyC, we recommend combining Indigenous Knowledge and western science to restore historical fire regimes to forests and grasslands and reintroduce PyC via biochar application to agricultural fields.

定居殖民主义和积极的防火措施大大消除了美国森林和草地中的经常性火灾。火烧碳(PyC)是火烧留下的重要遗产,也是土壤中碳(C)的一种稳定形式,随着生物量燃烧的停止而无意中消失了。通过简单的模拟,我们估计在过去的 125 年中,草原上的火灾导致了 963-1,028 兆吨的 PyC 损失,大约相当于土壤中 PyC 储库减少了 12%-22% 。草原生态系统中 PyC 的流失以及缺乏新鲜 PyC 的引入可能对大平原的土壤健康产生了重大影响。为了重建失去的稳定碳库以及 PyC 的相关生态系统功能,我们建议将土著知识与西方科学相结合,恢复森林和草地的历史火灾制度,并通过在农田施用生物炭重新引入 PyC。
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引用次数: 0
Urbanization-driven Cladocera community shifts in the lake - a case study from Baltic region, Europe 城市化驱动的湖泊桡足类群落变化--欧洲波罗的海地区的案例研究
IF 3.6 2区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ancene.2024.100439
Anna Lanka , Inta Dimante-Deimantovica , Saija Saarni , Normunds Stivrins , Wojciech Tylmann , Izabela Zawiska , Siim Veski

Our research aimed to evaluate, how urbanization affects lake ecosystems and Cladocera in particular. For this purpose, we chose a small urban lake with a well-documented history. Lake Velnezers (located in Riga, Latvia) is currently surrounded by apartment building complexes. Construction works around this lake started in the 1950s and continued up until the 1970s. To investigate how the transition from forested to agricultural and further urbanized land affected the lake ecosystem we took a sediment core that covers the time period from before 1875–2018. We evaluated ecological changes in the lake based on chemical and Cladocera species composition in sediment records and linked these changes to the historical information about alterations in the landscape around Velnezers. Our results show lake transitioned from oligotrophic to eutrophic conditions already before urbanization. The Lake ecosystem reacted to urbanization gradually, showing small changes in the beginning. However, in the 1980s lake experienced rapid deterioration in water quality – sediment records show an increase in heavy metal pollution, anoxia, and nutrient input. These stressors resulted in Cladocera functional group structure changes and loss of Cladocera species richness and diversity. Improvements in nature protection – such as wastewater management have reduced heavy metal and nutrient input into Lake Velnezers towards the present. However, previous deterioration, i.e. loss of species diversity and phosphorous legacy effect do not allow natural lake recovery under current conditions.

我们的研究旨在评估城市化如何影响湖泊生态系统,尤其是桡足类。为此,我们选择了一个历史悠久的小型城市湖泊。Velnezers湖(位于拉脱维亚里加)目前被公寓楼群包围。该湖周围的建设工程始于 20 世纪 50 年代,一直持续到 20 世纪 70 年代。为了研究从林地到农田的过渡以及进一步城市化对湖泊生态系统的影响,我们采集了一个沉积物岩芯,时间跨度从 1875 年前到 2018 年。我们根据沉积物记录中的化学成分和桡足类(Cladocera)物种组成评估了湖泊的生态变化,并将这些变化与 Velnezers 周围景观变化的历史信息联系起来。我们的研究结果表明,在城市化之前,湖泊就已经从低营养状态过渡到了富营养状态。湖泊生态系统对城市化的反应是渐进的,开始时变化较小。然而,在 20 世纪 80 年代,湖泊的水质迅速恶化--沉积物记录显示重金属污染、缺氧和营养物质输入增加。这些压力导致桡足类功能群结构发生变化,桡足类物种丰富度和多样性下降。目前,自然保护措施(如废水管理)的改善减少了重金属和营养物质对维尔纳泽斯湖的输入。然而,先前的恶化,即物种多样性的丧失和磷的遗留效应,并不能使湖泊在当前条件下自然恢复。
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引用次数: 0
Deciphering the intricate link between watershed-level land use changes and reservoir eutrophication in central Argentina over the 20th-21st century 解读 20-21 世纪阿根廷中部流域土地利用变化与水库富营养化之间错综复杂的联系
IF 3.6 2区 地球科学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.ancene.2024.100437
Luciana Mengo , Joaquín Deon , Silvana Halac , Gabriela Foray , Jean-Luc Loizeau , Daniel Ariztegui , Sergio Chiavassa , Thierry Adatte , Andrea Pasquini , Jorge Spangenberg , Ingrid Costamagna , Eduardo Piovano

In Anthropocene, unbalances of the water cycle have created a severe threat to the supply of this crucial element for current and future generations. In addition, water quality degradation has been promoted by the land-use change from natural ecosystems to urbanized and industrialized areas, favoring the nutrient input into water bodies. In the last two decades, the San Roque reservoir (SRr), situated in central Argentina, has become hypereutrophic. In this work, we proposed an integrated study strategy that included a multiproxy examination of the reservoir sedimentary record and a study of land-use changes, in order to: 1) link land-use change to primary productivity of the SRr over the last 100 years; and 2) identify the processes involved in the SRr's environmental evolution prior and after urban expansion occurred by 1980 CE. Results allow to recognize two distinctive scenarios: a) Pre-urban scenario (1898–1983 CE) reflected by a dominance of allochthonous organic matter in the sedimentary record derived from the catchment's deforestation and, b) A transition towards increasing lake internal productivity (1984–2018 CE), resulting in a eutrophic state with cyanobacteria dominance due to catchment urban densification, particularly in the peri-lacustrine area. This work constitutes a novel tool by combining a paleolimnological approach with demographic analysis to accurately track the consequences of land use change on the water body and, in addition, provide the basis for modeling future scenarios.

在 "人类世",水循环的失衡严重威胁着当代和子孙后代对这一重要元素的供应。此外,从自然生态系统到城市化和工业化地区的土地利用变化也加剧了水质的恶化,有利于向水体输入营养物质。在过去二十年里,位于阿根廷中部的圣洛克水库(SRr)已经出现了高富营养化现象。在这项工作中,我们提出了一项综合研究战略,其中包括对水库沉积记录进行多代理研究,以及对土地利用变化进行研究,以便:1)将土地利用变化与水体营养盐输入联系起来:1)将过去 100 年中的土地利用变化与 SRr 的初级生产力联系起来;以及 2)确定公元 1980 年城市扩张之前和之后 SRr 环境演变的过程。研究结果可确认两种不同的情景:a) 城市化前情景(公元 1898-1983 年),反映为沉积记录中的异源有机物占主导地位,这些有机物来自集水区的森林砍伐;b) 向提高湖泊内部生产力过渡(公元 1984-2018 年),由于集水区的城市密集化,特别是在近湖区,形成了以蓝藻为主的富营养化状态。这项工作是一项新颖的工具,它将古气象学方法与人口分析相结合,准确追踪了土地利用变化对水体造成的影响,并为未来情景建模提供了依据。
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