Hedging effectiveness in EU energy market: A case study

Andreas Petrou, N. Eriotis, E. Poutos, P. Boufounou
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Abstract

The current conditions in the European Union energy market are closely linked to significant fluctuations in both demand (due to the marked reduction in economic activity across the EU region due to the implementation of protection measures against COVID-19) and supply (characterized by high volatility in electricity pricing due to irregular fluctuations in fossil fuel prices). Given these challenging conditions, energy companies are forced to adopt hedging strategies to navigate the complexities associated with the extensive market risks. This study empirically examines the impact of the implementation of hedging strategies (measured by the value of financial derivatives relative to the total assets of company values) on financial value (assessed using the Tobin Q ratio) of power generation companies operating in the EU region for 2016 - 2021. The results, derived from an econometric study using panel data analysis, revealed that a potential increase in the value of financial derivatives as a percentage of total assets held by power generation firms in the EU region positively affects the Tobin Q index and, consequently, enhance their financial value. There is no statistically significant evidence to support the relationship between the growth of the domestic forward electricity market and the Tobin's Q index.
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欧盟能源市场的套期保值有效性:案例研究
欧盟能源市场目前的状况与需求(由于实施针对 COVID-19 的保护措施,整个欧盟地区的经济活动明显减少)和供应(由于化石燃料价格的不规则波动,电力价格波动很大)的大幅波动密切相关。鉴于这些具有挑战性的条件,能源公司不得不采取对冲策略,以应对与广泛的市场风险相关的复杂性。本研究以实证方法研究了 2016 - 2021 年实施对冲策略(以金融衍生品价值相对于公司价值总资产的比例来衡量)对欧盟地区运营的发电公司财务价值(使用托宾 Q 比率评估)的影响。利用面板数据分析进行的计量经济学研究得出的结果显示,欧盟地区发电企业持有的金融衍生品价值在总资产中所占比例的潜在增长会对托宾 Q 指数产生积极影响,从而提升其财务价值。没有统计意义上的重要证据支持国内远期电力市场的增长与托宾 Q 指数之间的关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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