Energy, economy, financial development, and ecological footprint in Singapore

Asif Raihan
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Abstract

The escalating energy consumption resulting from rapid economic expansion is causing a decline in ecological health, therefore exacerbating the issue of climate change on a global scale. The juxtaposition of Singapore's ranking as having the most robust financial market with the largest ecological deficit globally implies the potential validity of the trade-off theory. The purpose of this study is to analyze the influence of Singapore's financial growth, energy use and economic development on the nation's ecological footprint. The investigation applied the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method by using the annual time series data spanning from 1979 to 2021. The stationarity of data was confirmed by using several unit root tests. The ARDL bounds test revealed evidence for long term cointegration among the variables. The empirical results exposed that a 1% upsurge in financial growth, energy use, and economic expansion leads to a corresponding long-term increase in ecological footprint of 0.77%, 1.11% and 0.32%, as well as short-term increases of 0.44%, 0.61%, and 0.13%, respectively. Several diagnostic tests were used to confirm the accuracy of the ARDL outcomes. The findings of the analysis hold significant relevance for policymakers as they can inform the development of prudent policies that promote sustained economic prosperity without compromising environmental integrity.
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新加坡的能源、经济、金融发展和生态足迹
经济快速扩张导致能源消耗不断攀升,造成生态健康水平下降,从而加剧了全球范围内的气候变化问题。新加坡是全球金融市场最活跃的国家,但同时也是全球生态赤字最大的国家,这意味着权衡理论的潜在有效性。本研究旨在分析新加坡的金融增长、能源使用和经济发展对国家生态足迹的影响。调查采用了自回归分布滞后(ARDL)方法,使用了从 1979 年到 2021 年的年度时间序列数据。通过几种单位根检验证实了数据的静态性。ARDL 边界检验显示变量之间存在长期协整关系。实证结果表明,金融增长、能源使用和经济扩张每增加 1%,生态足迹就会相应地长期增加 0.77%、1.11% 和 0.32%,短期增加 0.44%、0.61% 和 0.13%。为确认 ARDL 结果的准确性,使用了若干诊断测试。分析结果对政策制定者具有重要意义,因为它们可以为制定审慎的政策提供信息,从而在不损害环境完整性的前提下促进经济持续繁荣。
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