PENGARUH LA NINA DAN EL NINO TERHADAP PENYAKIT DEMAM BERDARAH DENGUE DAN MALARIA DI INDONESIA

Liestiana Indriyati, Uli Mahanani
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Abstract

The phenomena of El nino and La nina are closely related to rainfall and its impact on various fields. Rainfall is an element of weather and climate that greatly influences all aspects of life including health, especially mosquito vector-borne diseases in Indonesia such as Dengue  hemorrhagic fever (DHF), malaria, chikungunya, zika, and others. In this regard, an analytical study was carried out on the effect of El nino and La nina on DHF and malaria cases in Indonesia. This paper is the result of data analysis from the study "The Influence of El nino and La nina on Seasonal Variability in South Kalimantan" and the data of DHF and malaria cases obtained from the Data and Information Center of the Ministry of Health of Indonesia. Descriptive analysis was carried out on the trend of DHF and malaria cases fluctuation associated with El nino and La nina phenomena that occurred throughout the time period 2007-2017. El nino and La nina phenomena affect fluctuations in DHF and malaria cases related to increased and decreased of rainfall which affect the growth and development and also the activity patterns of mosquito as vectors of transmitting DHF and malaria. The increase of DHF cases in Indonesia was influenced by "strong" El nino and "moderate" La nina while the increase of malaria cases in Indonesia was more influenced by "strong" and "moderate" La nina events.
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拉尼娜和厄尔尼诺对印度尼西亚登革出血热和疟疾的影响
厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜现象与降雨及其对各个领域的影响密切相关。降雨是天气和气候的一个要素,对包括健康在内的生活各个方面都有很大影响,尤其是印度尼西亚的蚊媒传播疾病,如登革出血热(DHF)、疟疾、基孔肯雅病、寨卡病毒等。为此,我们对厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜对印尼登革出血热和疟疾病例的影响进行了分析研究。本文是 "厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜对南加里曼丹季节变化的影响 "研究的数据分析结果,以及从印度尼西亚卫生部数据和信息中心获得的 DHF 和疟疾病例数据。对 2007-2017 年间发生的厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜现象导致的 DHF 和疟疾病例波动趋势进行了描述性分析。厄尔尼诺现象和拉尼娜现象会影响 DHF 和疟疾病例的波动,这与降雨量的增加和减少有关,而降雨量的增加和减少会影响生长和发育,也会影响作为传播 DHF 和疟疾病媒的蚊子的活动模式。印度尼西亚 DHF 病例的增加受到 "强 "厄尔尼诺和 "中 "拉尼娜现象的影响,而印度尼西亚疟疾病例的增加则更多地受到 "强 "和 "中 "拉尼娜现象的影响。
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