The Role of Inflation and The Performance of Rural Banks on Indonesia’s Economic Growth

Tito Arfandi Saat, Erni Febrina Harahap
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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the impact of inflation and Rural Banks' (BPR) performance—that is, their assets, credit, and third-party funding—on Indonesia's economy. For the years 2014–2020, panel data regression using a fixed effect model approach is the technique employed. Secondary data from the Financial Services Authority (OJK), Central Statistics Agency (BPS), and other relevant organizations were used in this investigation. The findings indicated, in part, that the credit variable had a significant coefficient value of 0.119, the inflation variable had a significant coefficient value of -0.033, the asset variable had a significant coefficient value of -0.006, and the third party fund variable had an insignificant coefficient value of 0.064. At the same time demonstrating how the variables of assets, third-party funding credit, and inflation all influence Indonesia's economic variables at the same time. A coefficient of determination of 0.99 is attained. Then, these findings demonstrate that the variables of inflation, assets, credit, and third-party funds account for 99 percent of the variation in economic variables' growth and fall, with other factors outside the model influencing the remaining 1%.
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通货膨胀和农村银行业绩对印尼经济增长的影响
本研究旨在评估通货膨胀和乡村银行(BPR)业绩(即其资产、信贷和第三方资金)对印度尼西亚经济的影响。采用固定效应模型方法对 2014-2020 年进行面板数据回归。调查使用了金融服务管理局(OJK)、中央统计局(BPS)和其他相关机构的二手数据。研究结果部分表明,信贷变量的显著系数值为 0.119,通货膨胀变量的显著系数值为-0.033,资产变量的显著系数值为-0.006,第三方基金变量的不显著系数值为 0.064。同时,资产变量、第三方资金信贷变量和通货膨胀变量如何同时影响印尼的经济变量。决定系数为 0.99。因此,这些研究结果表明,通货膨胀、资产、信贷和第三方资金等变量占经济变量增长和下降变化的 99%,模型之外的其他因素影响了剩余的 1%。
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