Suppression by Mobilization: How Information Control Strategies Contain Political Criticism in Autocracies

Li Shao, Dongshu Liu, Fangfei Wang
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Abstract

Autocrats selectively tolerate political criticism, which may erode regime support. The literature suggests that regimes contain criticism by encouraging more supportive voices, but the mechanisms remain unclear. We theorize two mechanisms: winning more supporters (persuasion) or mobilizing existing supporters to speak out (mobilization). These mechanisms can be created by censoring evidence that supports criticism and adopting propaganda to arouse nationalism or promise material gains. We conducted two survey experiments in China with a novel measurement of supporter mobilization: respondents’ written defenses against criticism. We find evidence of a mobilization mechanism but not persuasion. Censoring facts strongly encourages supportive comments. Ideological propaganda’s effects are moderate, whereas propaganda on material benefits has no effect.
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动员压制:信息控制策略如何遏制专制国家的政治批评
独裁者会选择性地容忍政治批评,这可能会削弱对政权的支持。文献表明,政权会通过鼓励更多的支持声音来遏制批评,但其机制仍不明确。我们从理论上提出了两种机制:赢得更多支持者(说服)或动员现有支持者发表意见(动员)。这些机制可以通过审查支持批评的证据,以及通过宣传唤起民族主义或承诺物质利益来建立。我们在中国进行了两项调查实验,采用了一种新的支持者动员测量方法:受访者对批评的书面辩护。我们发现了动员机制而非说服机制的证据。对事实的审查极大地鼓励了支持性评论。意识形态宣传的效果一般,而物质利益宣传则没有效果。
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