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Embattlement and Resilience Among White Evangelical Democrats 白人福音派民主党人的不安与复原力
Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI: 10.1177/10659129241253602
Levi G. Allen
Why do individuals defect from the partisan pull of their social identities? Previous explanations of social sorting often neglect to account for these defectors whose partisanship cannot be explained by simply tallying up their social identities. I call these individuals political heretics. To better understand this phenomenon, I leverage white evangelicals, one of the most socially and politically sorted groups in the United States, who support the Democratic Party as a case study. I find that, based upon 68 face-to-face interviews across seven churches, two explanations emerge that explain their heresy. First, some find their way into Democratic congregations that shield them from the pressure exerted by residing in a religious tradition that has undergone extensive political sorting. Second, some choose to remain in predominately Republicans churches and offset the cost of this political pressure with some other benefit. However, for those who choose the latter, electing to remain in a church where they are in the political minority, they face significant headwinds to either update their political preferences or leave. Despite these embattled defectors choosing to remain in Republican congregations, the pressure of polarization may eventually force them out.
为什么个人会脱离其社会身份的党派拉力?以往对社会排序的解释往往忽略了这些叛离者,而这些人的党派倾向是无法通过简单地统计其社会身份来解释的。我称这些人为政治异端。为了更好地理解这一现象,我将支持民主党的白人福音派教徒--美国社会和政治排序最高的群体之一--作为案例进行研究。我发现,根据对 7 个教会进行的 68 次面对面访谈,有两种解释可以解释他们的异端行为。首先,有些人进入了民主党教会,从而避免了因居住在经过广泛政治分化的宗教传统中而受到的压力。其次,有些人选择留在以共和党人为主的教会,用其他好处来抵消这种政治压力的代价。然而,对于那些选择后者,即选择留在一个他们在政治上属于少数派的教会的人来说,他们面临着巨大的阻力,要么更新自己的政治偏好,要么离开。尽管这些陷入困境的叛逃者选择留在共和党教会,但两极分化的压力最终可能会迫使他们离开。
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引用次数: 0
Debating the Populist Pariah: Changing Party Dynamics and Elite Rhetoric in the Swedish Riksdag 辩论民粹主义贱民:瑞典议会中不断变化的政党动态和精英言论
Pub Date : 2024-05-14 DOI: 10.1177/10659129241253220
Esther Mary L. Calvo, Hanna Bäck, Royce Carroll
Radical right populist parties have often been treated as “pariahs,” being excluded from coalition politics in parliamentary democracies. We argue that negative rhetoric targeted at radical right populist parties in legislative debates is used by the established parties to distance themselves from such parties and that the incentives to do so depend on the political context. Using sentiment analysis of speeches in the Swedish Riksdag from 2010 to 2022, we find that rhetoric targeted toward the radical right Sweden Democrats is more negative than speech concerning other parties on average. We also find that this negative rhetoric declined over time, particularly from the center-right parties, as the formerly marginal Sweden Democrats gained more seats and became a potential partner for cooperation. Our analysis demonstrates how tracking parliamentary discourse provides insights into changing party dynamics. Our findings suggest that, as the prospects for populists' pariah status change, rhetoric from established parties reflects this shifting role in party politics, with enduring negativity accompanied by reduced hostility among the center-right parties with the greatest potential for cooperation.
激进右翼民粹主义政党常常被视为 "贱民",被排斥在议会民主制国家的联合政治之外。我们认为,老牌政党在立法辩论中针对激进右翼民粹主义政党的负面言论是为了与这些政党保持距离,而这样做的动机取决于政治环境。通过对 2010 年至 2022 年瑞典议会的发言进行情感分析,我们发现针对激进右翼政党瑞典民主党的言论比针对其他政党的言论更为消极。我们还发现,随着时间的推移,这种负面言论有所减少,尤其是来自中右翼政党的言论,因为以前处于边缘地位的瑞典民主党获得了更多席位,成为了潜在的合作对象。我们的分析表明,跟踪议会言论可以深入了解政党动态的变化。我们的研究结果表明,随着民粹主义者贱民地位的前景发生变化,老牌政党的言论也反映了政党政治中角色的转变,在合作潜力最大的中右翼政党中,持续的负面情绪伴随着敌意的减少。
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引用次数: 0
The Effects of Electoral Violence on Women’s Legislative Representation 选举暴力对妇女立法代表权的影响
Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1177/10659129241252373
Reed M. Wood
Despite the global expansion in women’s access to political leadership in recent decades, female parliamentarians remain a distinct minority in most national legislatures. Previous studies have linked variations in women’s descriptive representation to international and domestic security threats, such as interstate war and transnational terrorist campaigns. However, existing research has thus far overlooked how the turbulence, unrest, and violence often associated with the election process itself may produce gendered electoral outcomes. I argue that violent contention in the period immediately preceding elections introduces gendered distortions to the political recruitment process that determines the gender composition of legislatures. The cumulative effect of these distortions is a reduction in the proportion of legislative seats subsequently held by women. To evaluate my hypothesis, I analyze data from 620 nominally competitive legislative elections in 128 countries between 1990 and 2012. Consistent with expectations, the results suggest that higher levels of election-related violence are associated with lower rates of women's descriptive representation.
尽管近几十年来全球妇女担任政治领导职务的人数不断增加,但在大多数国家的立法机构中,女议员仍然是明显的少数。以往的研究将女性描述性代表性的变化与国际和国内安全威胁(如国家间战争和跨国恐怖活动)联系起来。然而,迄今为止,现有的研究都忽略了与选举过程本身相关的动荡、不安和暴力是如何产生性别选举结果的。我认为,选举前的暴力争斗会对决定立法机构性别构成的政治招募过程造成性别扭曲。这些扭曲的累积效应会降低女性随后在立法机构中所占的席位比例。为了评估我的假设,我分析了 1990 年至 2012 年间 128 个国家 620 次名义上竞争性立法选举的数据。结果表明,与选举相关的暴力程度越高,妇女的描述性代表比例就越低。
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引用次数: 0
Perceptions of Threat, American National Identity, and Americans’ Attitudes Toward Documented and Undocumented Immigrants 对威胁的看法、美国的国家认同以及美国人对有证和无证移民的态度
Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1177/10659129241252660
Danhua Qi, James C. Garand
In this paper, we explore how the effects of perceived immigrant threat, American national identity, and attitudes toward immigration-dominated racial/ethnic groups on perceptions of immigrant contributions differ for documented and undocumented immigrants. We contend that different levels of perceived risk associated with undocumented and documented immigrants activate the effects of immigrant threat and American identity in different ways. We consider the varying effects of general perceptions of immigrant threat, and we also differentiate the effects of American pride (i.e., positive sentiments about being an American) and American exclusion (i.e., negative sentiments associated with criteria needed to be considered an American). We use data from the 2016 to 2017 Voter Study Group surveys, which includes a survey experiment with respondents randomly assigned to documented and undocumented immigrant treatments. We find strong negative effects of immigrant threat perceptions on Americans support for both immigrant groups, with observed effects significantly stronger for undocumented immigrants. Further, while American exclusion has strong negative effects on attitudes for both immigrant groups, American pride depresses support only for undocumented immigrants. We also find that evaluations of Hispanics have effects on perceptions of contributions for documented and undocumented immigrants, though the effect of Asian evaluations is limited to documented immigrants.
在本文中,我们探讨了感知到的移民威胁、美国国家认同以及对以移民为主的种族/民族群体的态度对有证移民和无证移民的移民贡献感的影响有何不同。我们认为,与无证移民和有证移民相关的不同程度的风险感知会以不同的方式激活移民威胁和美国身份认同的影响。我们考虑了对移民威胁的一般看法的不同影响,还区分了美国自豪感(即作为美国人的积极情绪)和美国排斥感(即与被视为美国人所需标准相关的消极情绪)的影响。我们使用了 2016 年至 2017 年选民研究小组调查的数据,其中包括一项调查实验,受访者被随机分配到有证移民和无证移民处理中。我们发现,移民威胁感对两个移民群体的美国人支持率都有很强的负面影响,对无证移民的影响明显更强。此外,虽然美国排斥对两个移民群体的态度都有强烈的负面影响,但美国自豪感只降低无证移民的支持率。我们还发现,对西班牙裔的评价对有证移民和无证移民的贡献观都有影响,但对亚裔的评价的影响仅限于有证移民。
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引用次数: 0
Legislator Pivotality and Voter Accountability 立法者的支点作用与选民问责制
Pub Date : 2024-05-06 DOI: 10.1177/10659129241251843
Sarah E. Anderson, Daniel M. Butler, Laurel Harbridge‐Yong, Zoe Nemerever
Pivotal legislators’ positions are critical to legislative outcomes, but does this heightened importance in policymaking translate into heightened electoral accountability or voter knowledge? Arguments about clarity of responsibility suggest that pivotal legislators, who are decisive in determining legislative outcomes, may be held to higher standards, while perspectives rooted in electoral incentives for position taking suggest they may not. Two survey experiments show that voters do not respond more strongly to pivotal legislators’ votes on policy. Moreover, observational data analysis rejects the expectation that constituents have more knowledge about the votes of pivotal moderate legislators compared to non-pivotal moderate legislators. These results suggest that pivotal legislators face similar, if not lower, accountability for their votes. Combined with the policy-concessions pivotal legislators can secure, these patterns point to the benefits that accrue to pivotal legislators from institutional rules that give them key veto power over policy.
举足轻重的立法者的立场对立法结果至关重要,但这种在决策中的重要性是否会转化为更高的选举责任或选民知识?关于责任明确性的论点表明,对立法结果起决定性作用的枢轴型议员可能会被要求达到更高的标准,而从选举激励机制的角度来看,他们可能不会被要求达到更高的标准。两项调查实验表明,选民并不会对举足轻重的立法者的政策投票做出更强烈的反应。此外,观察数据分析也否定了选民对枢轴型温和议员的投票比非枢轴型温和议员更了解的预期。这些结果表明,枢轴型议员在投票时面临类似的责任,甚至更低的责任。这些模式与枢轴型议员可以获得的政策让步相结合,表明枢轴型议员可以从赋予其关键的政策否决权的制度规则中获益。
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引用次数: 0
Testing Theories of States' Adoption of the Direct Primary 检验各州采用直接初选的理论
Pub Date : 2024-05-02 DOI: 10.1177/10659129241251783
H. Hassell, Robert A. Lytle
Understanding the origins of primary elections has important implications for evaluating their role in American elections. While there is little argument about the importance of primaries to the American electoral system, there is less agreement about why states adopted the direct primary and what they were intended to accomplish. Previous scholarship has laid out three theories: the strength of the progressive movement, parties' efforts to maintain one-party rule, and the urbanization of American society. Using comprehensive state-level data from 1892 to 1930, we test these theories of states' adoption of direct primaries. We find a strong influence of the strength of the progressive movement and the rate of urbanization on the adoption of the direct primary, but we do not, however, find any influence of state partisan competition. Our findings reinforce original arguments about the importance of the progressive movement and urbanization in the adoption of the direct primary.
了解初选的起源对于评估初选在美国选举中的作用具有重要意义。初选对美国选举制度的重要性毋庸置疑,但对于各州为何采用直接初选以及初选的目的,人们的看法却不尽一致。以往的学术研究提出了三种理论:进步运动的力量、政党维持一党统治的努力以及美国社会的城市化。我们利用 1892 年至 1930 年的综合州级数据,对各州采用直接初选的理论进行了检验。我们发现,进步运动的力量和城市化率对直接初选的采用有很大影响,但我们没有发现州党派竞争的任何影响。我们的研究结果加强了原有的论点,即进步运动和城市化对采用直接初选的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Suppression by Mobilization: How Information Control Strategies Contain Political Criticism in Autocracies 动员压制:信息控制策略如何遏制专制国家的政治批评
Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.1177/10659129241242040
Li Shao, Dongshu Liu, Fangfei Wang
Autocrats selectively tolerate political criticism, which may erode regime support. The literature suggests that regimes contain criticism by encouraging more supportive voices, but the mechanisms remain unclear. We theorize two mechanisms: winning more supporters (persuasion) or mobilizing existing supporters to speak out (mobilization). These mechanisms can be created by censoring evidence that supports criticism and adopting propaganda to arouse nationalism or promise material gains. We conducted two survey experiments in China with a novel measurement of supporter mobilization: respondents’ written defenses against criticism. We find evidence of a mobilization mechanism but not persuasion. Censoring facts strongly encourages supportive comments. Ideological propaganda’s effects are moderate, whereas propaganda on material benefits has no effect.
独裁者会选择性地容忍政治批评,这可能会削弱对政权的支持。文献表明,政权会通过鼓励更多的支持声音来遏制批评,但其机制仍不明确。我们从理论上提出了两种机制:赢得更多支持者(说服)或动员现有支持者发表意见(动员)。这些机制可以通过审查支持批评的证据,以及通过宣传唤起民族主义或承诺物质利益来建立。我们在中国进行了两项调查实验,采用了一种新的支持者动员测量方法:受访者对批评的书面辩护。我们发现了动员机制而非说服机制的证据。对事实的审查极大地鼓励了支持性评论。意识形态宣传的效果一般,而物质利益宣传则没有效果。
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引用次数: 0
Does Artificial Intelligence Speak Our Language?: A Gadamerian Assessment of Generative Language Models 人工智能会说我们的语言吗?对生成语言模型的伽达默尔式评估
Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.1177/10659129241243038
Phillip Pinell
The language argument is a classic argument for human distinctiveness that, for millenia, has been used to distinguish humans from non-human animals. Generative language models (GLMs) pose a challenge to traditional language-based models of human distinctiveness precisely because they can communicate and respond in a manner resembling humanity’s linguistic capabilities. This article asks: have GLMs acquired natural language? Employing Gadamer’s theory of language, I argue that they have not. While GLMs can reliably generate linguistic content that can be interpreted as “texts,” they lack the linguistically mediated reality that language provides. Missing from these models are four key features of a linguistic construction of reality: groundedness to the world, understanding, community, and tradition. I conclude with skepticism that GLMs can ever achieve natural language because they lack these characteristics in their linguistic development.
语言论证是人类独特性的经典论证,千百年来一直被用来区分人类和非人类动物。生成语言模型(GLMs)对传统的基于语言的人类独特性模型提出了挑战,正是因为它们能够以类似人类语言能力的方式进行交流和回应。本文提出的问题是:GLMs 获得了自然语言吗?运用伽达默尔的语言理论,我认为它们没有。虽然通用语言模型能够可靠地生成可被解释为 "文本 "的语言内容,但它们缺乏语言所提供的以语言为媒介的现实。这些模式缺少了语言建构现实的四个关键特征:立足世界、理解、社区和传统。最后,我对全球语言模型能否实现自然语言持怀疑态度,因为它们在语言发展过程中缺乏这些特征。
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引用次数: 0
Cross-Platform Partisan Positioning in Congressional Speech 国会演讲中的跨平台党派定位
Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/10659129241236685
Jon Green, Kelsey Shoub, Rachel Blum, Lindsey Cormack
Legislative activity—whether votes or communications—is often represented in a single partisan or ideological dimension. But as lawmakers communicate in various venues (e.g., traditional, direct, or social media), the extent to which these estimates are interchangeable—reflecting a common underlying dimension—is unclear. We estimate a partisan dimension in members’ tweets, Facebook posts, e-newsletters, press releases, and one-minute House floor speeches for the 116th U.S. Congress and test the extent to which representations remain consistent across different venues. We find that while Democrats are consistently separable from Republicans, members’ relative intra-party positions frequently shift between venues. This is likely driven by differences in the affordances and audiences present in each venue, as venues with more nationalized audiences (such as social media) show higher levels of rhetorical polarization than venues with more local audiences (e-newsletters). These results suggest that the level of polarization we observe depends on where we look, and that the scholars of congressional communication should explicitly consider the input they use to measure partisanship.
立法活动--无论是投票还是沟通--通常以单一的党派或意识形态维度来表示。但是,由于立法者在不同场合(如传统媒体、直接媒体或社交媒体)进行交流,这些估计值在多大程度上可以互换--反映一个共同的基本维度--尚不清楚。我们估算了第 116 届美国国会中议员在推特、Facebook 帖子、电子通讯、新闻稿和一分钟众议院发言中的党派维度,并检验了在不同场合的代表性保持一致的程度。我们发现,虽然民主党人与共和党人的立场始终保持一致,但议员的党内相对立场经常在不同场合发生变化。这很可能是由于每个场所的受众和受众能力的差异造成的,因为受众更全国化的场所(如社交媒体)比受众更本地化的场所(电子通讯)表现出更高的修辞极化水平。这些结果表明,我们观察到的两极分化程度取决于我们的观察视角,国会传播学者应该明确考虑他们用来衡量党派性的输入。
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引用次数: 0
Revolutionary Confucianism? Neo-Confucian Idealism and Modern Chinese Revolutionary Thought 革命儒学?新儒家理想主义与中国现代革命思想
Pub Date : 2024-02-18 DOI: 10.1177/10659129241228489
Germaine A. Hoston
This article explores the relationship between materialism and philosophical idealism in the political philosophy of Marxist revolutionary movements, by illuminating the influence of Neo-Confucian idealism on the sinification of Marxism. Although they had virtually no access to the writings of the young Marx, Li Dazhao and Mao Zedong incorporated idealist philosophical ideas into their sinified Marxism. I argue that three elements of Neo-Confucian idealism contributed to the sinification of Marxism that emerged by the 1940s: (1) acknowledgment of the real existence of the material world as apprehended by the mind-and-heart in Zhu Xi’s Neo-Confucianism; (2) emphasis on human will and consciousness, drawn from Wang Yangming’s Neo-Confucianism; and (3) recognition of an autonomous, even decisive role of consciousness and culture in revolutionary change. The resulting sinified Marxism constituted a revolutionary New Confucianism, highlighting the most universal, humanistic, liberative elements in the Chinese philosophical tradition. These community-affirming and spiritually rich elements can be mobilized against authoritarian forces to support the continuing struggle for human rights and democratization within and well beyond China today.
本文通过阐明新儒家唯心主义对马克思主义中国化的影响,探讨了马克思主义革命运动的政治哲学中唯物主义与哲学唯心主义之间的关系。尽管李大钊和毛泽东几乎没有机会接触到青年马克思的著作,但他们将唯心主义哲学思想融入了他们的汉化马克思主义。我认为,新儒家唯心主义的三个要素促成了 20 世纪 40 年代出现的马克思主义的汉化:(1)朱熹的新儒家思想承认物质世界的真实存在,即由心灵和思想所感知;(2)王阳明的新儒家思想强调人的意志和意识;以及(3)承认意识和文化在革命变革中的自主甚至决定性作用。由此产生的汉化马克思主义构成了革命性的新儒学,突出了中国哲学传统中最具普遍性、人文性和自由性的元素。这些社会肯定和精神丰富的元素可以被调动起来对抗专制势力,以支持今天中国国内和国外争取人权和民主化的持续斗争。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Political Research Quarterly
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