Migrant caravans in the Northern Triangle of Central America during the Covid-19 pandemic: An overview of the causes, mechanisms and changes in U.S. immigration policy

Anna Bartnik
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Abstract

The economic and social conditions that are the main drivers of human mobility have deteriorated due to the Covid-19 pandemic. When states closed their borders and limited travel to essential purposes only, human mobility disappeared almost completely. Before the pandemic, the last few decades had brought a growing number of so-called migrant caravans heading from Central America to the United States with the intention of entering illegally. Some projections assumed that restrictions implemented by US border immigration policy during the pandemic would stop illegal crossings, at least in the short term. It is this idea that forms the core discussion of this article. Starting by outlining the characteristics of the most well-known caravan that left Honduras in 2018, and explaining the mechanisms that managed this phenomenon, the article seeks to analyse migration during the pandemic. Through investigation of the root causes of migration, operational aspects of forming caravans and changes in immigration policy, it achieves its main goal of finding an answer to the question of whether the pandemic affected migration and, if so, what has changed.
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Covid-19 大流行期间中美洲北三角地区的移民大篷车:美国移民政策的原因、机制和变化概览
作为人口流动主要驱动力的经济和社会条件因 Covid-19 大流行而恶化。当各国关闭边境并将旅行仅限于必要目的时,人员流动几乎完全消失。在大流行病发生之前,过去几十年来,越来越多的所谓移民大篷车从中美洲前往美国,意图非法入境。一些预测认为,美国边境移民政策在疫情期间实施的限制措施将阻止非法越境,至少在短期内如此。本文讨论的核心正是这一观点。文章首先概述了 2018 年离开洪都拉斯的最著名大篷车的特点,并解释了管理这一现象的机制,然后试图分析大流行病期间的移民问题。通过调查移民的根本原因、组建大篷车的运作方面以及移民政策的变化,文章实现了其主要目标,即找到大流行病是否影响了移民,如果影响了,又发生了哪些变化这一问题的答案。
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