Predictive analytics in credit risk management for banks: A comprehensive review

Wilhelmina Afua Addy, Chinonye Esther Ugochukwu, Adedoyin Tolulope Oyewole, Onyeka Chrisanctus Ofodile, Omotayo Bukola Adeoye, Chinwe Chinazo Okoye
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Abstract

This comprehensive review explores the dynamic landscape of predictive analytics in credit risk management within the banking sector. Anchored in a qualitative research design, the study synthesizes existing literature and real-world case studies to provide a multifaceted understanding of predictive analytics' role in modern banking. The review identifies key trends, highlighting the integration of predictive analytics across diverse banking operations, the transition to advanced machine learning algorithms, the democratization of predictive analytics tools, and the growing emphasis on ethical and regulatory compliance. It underscores the effectiveness of predictive analytics, showcasing its ability to enhance risk assessment precision, decision-making agility, and overall banking performance. Comparative analyses reveal the varying performance of predictive models across contexts, emphasizing the importance of tailored model selection. However, challenges such as data quality, model interpretability, talent scarcity, ethical considerations, and implementation costs pose significant hurdles. Looking forward, predictive analytics promises to be an indispensable tool for mitigating credit risk in the banking sector, offering refined risk assessments, smarter decisions, and enhanced resilience. The insights from this review provide valuable guidance for banking professionals, regulators, and researchers navigating the evolving landscape of predictive analytics in banking.
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银行信贷风险管理中的预测分析:全面回顾
这篇综合评论探讨了预测分析技术在银行业信用风险管理中的动态发展。本研究以定性研究设计为基础,综合了现有文献和实际案例研究,从多方面阐述了预测分析在现代银行业中的作用。综述确定了关键趋势,突出强调了预测分析在各种银行业务中的整合、向高级机器学习算法的过渡、预测分析工具的民主化以及对道德和监管合规性的日益重视。报告强调了预测分析的有效性,展示了其提高风险评估精确度、决策灵活性和整体银行业绩效的能力。对比分析揭示了预测模型在不同情况下的不同表现,强调了有针对性地选择模型的重要性。然而,数据质量、模型可解释性、人才稀缺、道德考量和实施成本等挑战构成了重大障碍。展望未来,预测分析有望成为银行业降低信贷风险不可或缺的工具,提供精细的风险评估、更明智的决策和更强的应变能力。本综述中的见解为银行业专业人士、监管机构和研究人员提供了宝贵的指导,帮助他们驾驭不断发展的银行业预测分析技术。
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