A population-based study of COVID-19 mortality risk in US cancer patients

Abstract

Background In this study, we provide the largest analysis to date of a US-based cancer cohort to characterize death from COVID-19. Methods A total of 4,020,669 patients across 15 subtypes living with cancer in 2020 and included in the National Cancer Institute’s Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were abstracted. We investigated prognostic factors for death due to COVID-19 using a cox proportional hazards model and calculated hazard ratios (HRs). Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated using observed mortality counts from SEER and expected mortality based on U.S. mortality rates. Results 291,323 patients died, with 14,821 (5.1%) deaths attributed to COVID-19 infection. The COVID-19 disease-specific mortality rate was 11.81/10,000-persons years, and SMR of COVID-19 was 2.30 (95% CI: 2.26-2.34, p < .0001). COVID-19 ranked as the second leading cause of death following ischemic heart disease (5.2%) among 26 non-cancer causes of death. Patients who are older (80+ vs < =49 years old: HR 21.47, 95% CI: 19.34-23.83), male (vs female: HR 1.46, 95% CI: 1.40-1.51), unmarried (vs married: HR 1.47, 95% CI: 1.42-1.53), and Hispanic or Non-Hispanic African American (vs Non-Hispanic White: HR 2.04, 95% CI: 1.94-2.14 and HR 2.03, 95% CI: 1.94-2.14, respectively) were at greatest risk of COVID-19 mortality. Conclusions and Relevance We observed that people living with cancer are at two times greater risk of dying from COVID-19 compared to the general US population. This work may be used by physicians and public health officials in the creation of survivorship programs that mitigate the risk of COVID-19 mortality.