Time-varying reliability models for parallel systems consisting of beam structures with crack flaws

Peng Gao, Liyang Xie
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Abstract

Abstract. Time-varying reliability assessment of parallel systems of beam structures with crack defects is of great importance for structural safety evaluation. In this paper, time-varying reliability models for parallel systems with cracked beams are proposed. In the modeling process, the statistical correlation between crack depth, random working load, random strength degradation, and random stress response as well as the complex failure correlation jointly caused by these factors are considered. Based on the finite element analysis of the cracked beams, the reliability models are constructed by combining the neural network and the response surface agent model. The validity of the model is verified by the Monte Carlo simulation method. The results show that crack depth and working load dispersion have important effects on reliability and failure correlation.
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由带裂缝缺陷的梁结构组成的并联系统的时变可靠性模型
摘要对存在裂缝缺陷的梁结构并联系统进行时变可靠性评估对结构安全评估具有重要意义。本文提出了带裂缝梁结构并联系统的时变可靠性模型。在建模过程中,考虑了裂纹深度、随机工作载荷、随机强度退化和随机应力响应之间的统计相关性,以及这些因素共同导致的复杂失效相关性。在对开裂梁进行有限元分析的基础上,结合神经网络和响应面代理模型构建了可靠性模型。模型的有效性通过蒙特卡罗模拟法进行了验证。结果表明,裂纹深度和工作载荷分散对可靠性和失效相关性有重要影响。
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