Impact of weather on bicycle use

J. Juga, Timo Pohjosenperä
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Abstract

This study describes the seasonal variations of cycling in Helsinki and analyzes their association with the weather conditions. The empirical data was obtained from the open data of cyclist counting stations at three locations in Helsinki (Baana, Merikannontie, Huopalahti). Weather data (including average daily temperature, sum of precipitation and average snow depth at the Kaisaniemi weather station) was obtained from the Finnish Meteorological Institute. Results show that there is a very strong seasonal variation of cycling in Helsinki. When analyzed individually, all three weather variables showed a statistically significant relationship with the daily number of cyclists. However, when all three variables were entered into the model together, temperature was by far the most influential variable while precipitation was also statistically significant. Snow depth was not significant in the model, and it is obvious that its role is dependent on various other factors, for instance snow clearing, that was not considered in the analyses of the study.
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天气对自行车使用的影响
本研究描述了赫尔辛基骑自行车的季节性变化,并分析了其与天气条件的关联。实证数据来自赫尔辛基三个地点(巴纳(Baana)、梅里坎农蒂(Merikannontie)和霍帕拉赫蒂(Huopalahti))自行车计数站的公开数据。天气数据(包括凯萨涅米气象站的日平均气温、降水量总和和平均积雪深度)来自芬兰气象研究所。结果表明,赫尔辛基的周期性变化具有很强的季节性。在单独分析时,所有三个天气变量都与每天骑自行车的人数有显著的统计关系。然而,当把这三个变量一起输入模型时,气温是迄今为止影响最大的变量,而降水在统计上也很重要。积雪深度在模型中并不重要,很明显,积雪深度的作用取决于其他各种因素,例如清雪,而这些因素在研究分析中并没有考虑到。
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